Al-Jazira
vs
Baniyas SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Jazira
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC
| Probability | Al-Jazira | Draw | Baniyas SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.9% | 18.1% | 11.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 70.9% | 18.1% | 11.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Jazira
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC match preview
Al-Jazira enters the match against Baniyas SC with a strong probability of winning at 71%, reflecting their recent form of two draws followed by four consecutive wins. Their expected goals stand at 2.48, indicating a solid offensive capability, while Baniyas SC struggles with an expected goals tally of just 0.91 and a recent record of six matches without a win, including five losses.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 10% likelihood, suggesting a potential clean sheet for Al-Jazira. Additionally, there is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams to score has a 55% probability. Historically, Al-Jazira has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two head-to-head matches against Baniyas SC.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Jazira and Baniyas SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
Al-Jazira and Baniyas SC attack and defence ratings
Al-Jazira
Baniyas SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Jazira | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Jazira win | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Jazira | 70.9% |
| Draw | 18.1% | |
| Baniyas SC | 11.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Jazira win | 49.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 29.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 3-0 | 8.6% |
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC stats
Al-Jazira and Baniyas SC recent form
| Al-Jazira |
DDWWWW |
| Baniyas SC |
LDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Jazira and Baniyas SC season so far
Al-Jazira record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Baniyas SC record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Al-Jazira | Baniyas SC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 4-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Baniyas SC | Al-Jazira | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.