Dubai United
vs
Khorfakkan
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dubai United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.95.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Dubai United vs Khorfakkan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dubai United vs Khorfakkan
| Probability | Dubai United | Draw | Khorfakkan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 20.3% | 30.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.3% | 20.3% | 30.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dubai United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.95.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Dubai United vs Khorfakkan match preview
Dubai United will face Khorfakkan in the upcoming Pro League match, with the model predicting a 49% chance of a home victory for Dubai United, while Khorfakkan has a 30% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 20%. The expected goals for Dubai United is 2.47, compared to Khorfakkan's 1.95, indicating a potentially competitive match.
The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Dubai United, with an 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance that both teams will score. Recent form shows Dubai United with two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Khorfakkan has one win and five losses in the same period.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dubai United and Khorfakkan expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.42
Dubai United and Khorfakkan attack and defence ratings
Dubai United
Khorfakkan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dubai United vs Khorfakkan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dubai United | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dubai United | 49.3% |
| Draw | 20.3% | |
| Khorfakkan | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.1% |
| No | 20.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dubai United win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.2% |
| 2-2 | 7.0% | |
| 1-1 | 6.4% |
Dubai United vs Khorfakkan stats
Dubai United and Khorfakkan recent form
| Dubai United |
LDLWWL |
| Khorfakkan |
LDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dubai United and Khorfakkan season so far
Dubai United record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Khorfakkan record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.