Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
vs
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
| Probability | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Draw | Al-Ittihad Kalba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.0% | 17.0% | 12.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 71.0% | 17.0% | 12.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba match preview
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai enters the match against Al-Ittihad Kalba with a strong probability of winning at 71%, while Al-Ittihad Kalba has a 12% chance. The expected goals for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai stand at 2.70, significantly higher than Al-Ittihad Kalba's 1.08. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has shown consistency with three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five matches. In contrast, Al-Ittihad Kalba has struggled, managing only one win in their last six outings, alongside three losses and two draws. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 73%, and both teams scoring is projected at 62%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.78
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba attack and defence ratings
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 71.0% |
| Draw | 17.0% | |
| Al-Ittihad Kalba | 12.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win | 50.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 29.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.0% |
| 2-0 | 8.3% | |
| 3-1 | 8.1% |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba stats
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba recent form
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
WDLWWW |
| Al-Ittihad Kalba |
DWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba season so far
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Al-Ittihad Kalba record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Ittihad Kalba | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 5-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.