United Arab Emirates Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Al-Ittihad Kalba
vs
Al-Jazira
2 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | Benjamin Tetteh | ||
| 8′ | Guilherme Sucigan Mafra Cunha | ||
| 22′ | Malcom | ||
| 29′ | Caio EduardoAntônio Fialho de Carvalho Neto | ||
| 45′ | Ruben AmaralIgor Eduardo Schlemper | ||
| 53′ | Guilherme Sucigan Mafra CunhaMarwan Fahad Hamza | ||
| 57′ | Saile SouzaKhalid Ali Aldarmaki | ||
| 58′ | JuninhoAhmad Nourollahi | ||
| 58′ | Saman GhoddosBader Abaelaziz | ||
| 73′ | Ibrahim Cissé | ||
| 80′ | Kristjan AsllaniAbdallah Ramadan | ||
| 81′ | Vinicius Mello | ||
| 82′ | Vinicius Mello | ||
| 90′ | Benjamin Tetteh | ||
| 90′ | Marcus Vinicius Barbosa MeloniNermin Mujkić | ||
| 90′ | Mamadou CoulibalyAli Al-Memari | ||
| 90′ | Antônio Fialho de Carvalho Neto | ||
| 90′ | Sultan Al-Mantheri | ||
| 90′ | Víctor Sánchez |
Al-Ittihad Kalba
15%
Draw
20%
Al-Jazira
64%
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 209 | Accurate passes | 347 |
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira
| Probability | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Draw | Al-Jazira |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.3% | 15.7% | 74.1% |
| Market | 17.1% | 21.9% | 61.0% |
| Final | 15.4% | 20.4% | 64.2% |
| Edge | -1.7% | -1.6% | +3.3% |
Why Al-Jazira
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Jazira below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
74%
No goals
3%
Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira expected goals
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1.02
Al-Jazira
2.83
Total expected goals: 3.85
Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira attack and defence ratings
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.40 +40%
Al-Jazira
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira: result vs prediction
Al-Ittihad Kalba 2 – 2 Al-Jazira
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Jazira | 64.2% | 1.56 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Jazira win | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 15.4% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Al-Jazira | 64.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% |
| No | 39.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Jazira win | 54.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 25.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.7% |
| 0-2 | 8.5% | |
| 1-3 | 8.2% |
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira stats
Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira recent form
| Al-Ittihad Kalba |
WLLLDL |
| Al-Jazira |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira going into this match
Al-Ittihad Kalba record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Al-Jazira record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Al-Ittihad Kalba wins
3Draws
5Al-Jazira wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Al-Jazira | Al-Ittihad Kalba | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-29 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al-Jazira | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Al-Jazira | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-07 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al-Jazira | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-14 | Al-Jazira | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-23 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al-Jazira | Pro League | 0-4 |
| 2023-05-11 | Al-Jazira | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2023-01-22 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al-Jazira | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2022-03-15 | Al-Jazira | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2022-01-03 | Al-Jazira | Al-Ittihad Kalba | League Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.0%, draw 21.6%, away 61.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.47 | 4.25 | 1.45 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.25 | 1.52 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.30 | 1.46 |
| Marathonbet | 5.25 | 4.25 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 5.44 | 4.58 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
5.35 ▼ -0.47
X
4.17 ▼ -0.17
2
1.50 ▲ +0.07
9 snapshots recorded, from .