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United Arab Emirates Pro League · ·Matchday 6

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira

Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Jazira

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Bet on Al-Jazira

Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium, Kalba

Al-Ittihad Kalba 16%
Draw 20%
Al-Jazira 64%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Al-Jazira wins
64%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Ittihad KalbaDrawAl-Jazira
Model10.2%15.6%74.2%
Market17.3%21.9%60.8%
Final15.5%20.3%64.2%
Edge-7.2%-6.2%+13.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Jazira

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Al-Jazira below the model: +13.4 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira match preview

In the upcoming match between Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira, the model indicates a strong advantage for Al-Jazira, assigning them a 75% probability of winning compared to Al-Ittihad Kalba's 10%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% likelihood. Al-Jazira's recent form shows a robust performance, with four consecutive wins, while Al-Ittihad Kalba has struggled, recording only one win in their last six matches.

The expected goals suggest a significant disparity, with Al-Ittihad Kalba projected to score 1.01 and Al-Jazira 2.85. Additionally, there is a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match and a 61% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record also favors Al-Jazira, who have one win and one draw in their last two encounters.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Ittihad Kal ↓ / Al-Jazira → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 11% 1 7% 9% 8% 12% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira expected goals

Al-Ittihad Kalba 1.02
Al-Jazira 2.83

Total expected goals: 3.85

Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira attack and defence ratings

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Al-Jazira

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Jazira 64.2% 1.56 +13.4% 1.52
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.9% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.7% 1.65 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 84.5% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Al-Jazira win 54.8% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Ittihad Kalba15.5%
Draw20.3%
Al-Jazira64.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.9%
Under 2.526.1%
Both teams to scoreYes60.7%
No39.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)35.8%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)84.5%
Handicap -1Al-Jazira win54.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss25.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.7%
0-28.5%
1-38.2%
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Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira stats

Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira recent form

newest first
Al-Ittihad Kalba WLLLDL
Al-Jazira DWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira season so far

league record

Al-Ittihad Kalba record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Al-Jazira record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Al-Ittihad Kalba wins 3Draws 5Al-Jazira wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-13Al-JaziraAl-Ittihad KalbaUnited Arab Emirates Pro League2-1
2025-12-29Al-Ittihad KalbaAl-JaziraUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-1
2025-04-23Al-JaziraAl-Ittihad KalbaPro League1-2
2024-12-07Al-Ittihad KalbaAl-JaziraPro League1-1
2024-03-14Al-JaziraAl-Ittihad KalbaPro League2-2
2023-09-23Al-Ittihad KalbaAl-JaziraPro League0-4
2023-05-11Al-JaziraAl-Ittihad KalbaPro League2-0
2023-01-22Al-Ittihad KalbaAl-JaziraPro League2-1
2022-03-15Al-JaziraAl-Ittihad KalbaPro League3-2
2022-01-03Al-JaziraAl-Ittihad KalbaLeague Cup2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.0%, draw 21.6%, away 61.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.47 4.25 1.45
Bet365 4.75 4.10 1.50
BetVictor 5.50 4.10 1.50
Betano 5.40 4.25 1.52
Betfair 5.50 4.40 1.44
Dafabet 5.40 4.30 1.46
Marathonbet 5.25 4.25 1.44
Pinnacle 5.29 4.47 1.51
William Hill 5.00 4.00 1.50
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Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.27 ▼ -0.55
X 4.17 ▼ -0.17
2 1.50 ▲ +0.07

8 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Al-Jazira Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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