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United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Al-Jazira vs Ajman

3 – 0 Full time

Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu DhabiReferee: O. Alali

Al-Jazira 57%
Draw 23%
Ajman 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al-Jazira vs Ajman overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Jazira vs Ajman

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-JaziraDrawAjman
Model53.7%21.8%24.5%
Market57.9%22.9%19.3%
Final56.8%22.6%20.6%
Edge-4.2%-1.0%+5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Jazira

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.48.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Jazira ↓ / Ajman → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Al-Jazira and Ajman expected goals

Al-Jazira 2.23
Ajman 1.48

Total expected goals: 3.71

Al-Jazira and Ajman attack and defence ratings

Al-Jazira

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Ajman

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Jazira vs Ajman: result vs prediction

Al-Jazira 3 – 0 Ajman

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Jazira vs Ajman markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Jazira 56.8% 1.76 -4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.6% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.7% 1.43 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.1% 2.17 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Jazira56.8%
Draw22.6%
Ajman20.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.6%
Under 2.528.4%
Both teams to scoreYes69.7%
No30.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.4%
12 (either side)77.4%
X2 (draw or away)43.2%
Handicap -1Al-Jazira win33.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss46.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.0%
1-18.9%
3-16.7%

Al-Jazira vs Ajman stats

Al-Jazira and Ajman recent form

newest first
Al-Jazira WWWLDL
Ajman WWDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Jazira vs Ajman head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Al-Jazira wins 3Draws 3Ajman wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-05AjmanAl-JaziraUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-1
2026-01-08Al-JaziraAjmanUnited Arab Emirates Pro League3-0
2025-10-26Al-JaziraAjmanPresidents Cup2-1
2025-04-11AjmanAl-JaziraPro League1-1
2024-11-23Al-JaziraAjmanPro League4-0
2024-05-14AjmanAl-JaziraPro League2-0
2023-12-08Al-JaziraAjmanPro League1-5
2023-03-18AjmanAl-JaziraPro League1-1
2022-10-23Al-JaziraAjmanPro League0-1
2022-05-06Al-JaziraAjmanPro League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Jazira vs Ajman odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 22.9%, away 19.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.60 3.90 4.80
1xBet 1.56 4.00 4.80
BetVictor 1.57 4.00 4.80
Betano 1.62 3.95 4.70
Betfair 1.53 4.00 4.75
Dafabet 1.58 3.95 4.60
Marathonbet 1.54 4.00 4.75
Pinnacle 1.58 4.22 4.88
Superbet 1.61 4.00 4.65
Unibet 1.62 3.80 4.20
William Hill 1.57 3.80 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.58 ▲ +0.02
X 4.00 —
2 4.75 ▼ -0.03

7 snapshots recorded, from .