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United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Dubai United vs Al-Ittihad Kalba

4 – 1 Full time

Al Maktoum Stadium, DubaiReferee: M. Alharmoodi

Dubai United 50%
Draw 22%
Al-Ittihad Kalba 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Dubai United vs Al-Ittihad Kalba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dubai United vs Al-Ittihad Kalba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDubai UnitedDrawAl-Ittihad Kalba
Model49.9%22.0%28.1%
Market———
Final49.9%22.0%28.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Dubai United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.64.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dubai United ↓ / Al-Ittihad Kal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 6% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Dubai United and Al-Ittihad Kalba expected goals

Dubai United 2.20
Al-Ittihad Kalba 1.64

Total expected goals: 3.84

Dubai United and Al-Ittihad Kalba attack and defence ratings

Dubai United

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dubai United vs Al-Ittihad Kalba: result vs prediction

Dubai United 4 – 1 Al-Ittihad Kalba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Dubai United vs Al-Ittihad Kalba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dubai United 49.9% 2.00 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.8% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.5% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.1% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dubai United49.9%
Draw22.0%
Al-Ittihad Kalba28.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.8%
Under 2.526.2%
Both teams to scoreYes72.5%
No27.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.9%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)50.1%
Handicap -1Dubai United win30.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss50.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.5%
1-18.5%
2-27.0%

Dubai United vs Al-Ittihad Kalba stats

Dubai United and Al-Ittihad Kalba recent form

newest first
Dubai United WL
Al-Ittihad Kalba LDLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Dubai United vs Al-Ittihad Kalba head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Dubai United vs Al-Ittihad Kalba odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.