Charleston Battery
vs
Indy Eleven
Garuda Lions Prediction: Charleston Battery
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.84.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven
| Probability | Charleston Battery | Draw | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.5% | 20.9% | 12.6% |
| Market | 57.9% | 22.9% | 19.3% |
| Final | 60.0% | 22.4% | 17.6% |
| Edge | +2.2% | -0.5% | -1.7% |
Why Charleston Battery
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charleston Battery below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.0% per unit staked (our 60.0% × 1.65 − 1).
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven match preview
Charleston Battery is favored to win against Indy Eleven, with a probability of 67% according to our model. The expected goals for Charleston Battery stand at 2.15, compared to 0.84 for Indy Eleven, indicating a strong offensive performance anticipated from the home side. Recent form shows Charleston Battery with two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Indy Eleven has struggled significantly, losing their last six games.
In their last three encounters, Charleston Battery has secured two victories over Indy Eleven, who has one win in this period. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Charleston Battery, with a 12% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 51% probability of scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Charleston Battery and Indy Eleven expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Charleston Battery and Indy Eleven attack and defence ratings
Charleston Battery
Indy Eleven
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
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- Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
- Louisville City v Detroit City — match page
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion — team news & stats
- Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX
- San Antonio vs Orange County SC
- Colorado Springs v FC Tulsa — match page
- El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 60.0% | 1.67 | +2.2% | 1.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 60.0% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Indy Eleven | 17.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 43.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 33.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.6% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven stats
Charleston Battery and Indy Eleven recent form
| Charleston Battery |
WDLWWD |
| Indy Eleven |
LLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charleston Battery and Indy Eleven season so far
Charleston Battery record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Indy Eleven record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Indy Eleven | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Charleston Battery | Indy Eleven | USL Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Indy Eleven | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 22.9%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.95 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.12 | 4.72 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .