Charleston Battery
vs
Rhode Island
Garuda Lions Prediction: Charleston Battery
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.77.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Charleston Battery is the favourite, not a value bet.
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island
| Probability | Charleston Battery | Draw | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 30.1% | 19.6% |
| Market | 48.7% | 26.0% | 25.3% |
| Final | 49.1% | 27.0% | 23.9% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +1.0% | -1.4% |
Why Charleston Battery
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.94, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.8% per unit staked (our 49.1% × 1.94 − 1).
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island match preview
Charleston Battery enters this matchup with a 49% probability of winning against Rhode Island, who has a 24% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Charleston, with an expected goals figure of 1.38 compared to Rhode Island's 0.77. Recent form shows Charleston Battery with three wins and two draws in their last six matches, while Rhode Island has two wins, two losses, and a draw in the same period.
Historically, the last eight encounters between these teams have been closely contested, with Charleston Battery securing two wins, Rhode Island three wins, and three matches ending in draws. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 42%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 37%. Overall, the confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Charleston Battery and Rhode Island expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Charleston Battery and Rhode Island attack and defence ratings
Charleston Battery
Rhode Island
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 49.1% | 2.04 | +0.4% | 1.94 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 49.1% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Rhode Island | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.5% |
| No | 58.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 49.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island stats
Charleston Battery and Rhode Island recent form
| Charleston Battery |
WWDLWW |
| Rhode Island |
LDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charleston Battery and Rhode Island season so far
Charleston Battery record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rhode Island record
- They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Charleston Battery | Rhode Island | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Rhode Island | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 4-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Charleston Battery | Rhode Island | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Rhode Island | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Charleston Battery | Rhode Island | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-17 | Charleston Battery | Rhode Island | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Charleston Battery | Rhode Island | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Rhode Island | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.7%, draw 26.0%, away 25.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.46 | 3.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.46 | 3.46 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.69 | 3.81 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .