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USL Championship · Full time ·Quarter-finals

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic

3 – 3 Full time

13′M. Ngalina
16′B. Coffey
20′J. Moreira
31′S. Anaku
46′S. SuberN. Messer
46′L. KissiedouL. Blackstock
46′M. FosterC. Swan
60′C. A. Sanchez GonzalezK. Pakhomov
72′M. NgalinaA. Williams
73′B. CoffeyB. Mines
73′S. AnakuA. Obalola
75′D. MartinezN. Houssou
80′E. Ycaza
81′A. Siaha
81′J. MoreiraM. Adedokun
83′C. Swan
89′B. Burke
90′K. Pakhomov
90′K. Pakhomov
95′G. Smith
106′B. MinesS. Careaga
119′L. ZamudioJ. Berner
120′T. Presthus
120′N. Houssou
120′J. Scarlett
120′M. Berry
120′S. Careaga
120′K. Pakhomov
120′M. Adedokun
120′E. Ycaza
120′J. Kelly

Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount PleasantReferee: C. Radosav

Charleston Battery 53%
Draw 25%
Hartford Athletic 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCharleston BatteryDrawHartford Athletic
Model50.0%26.7%23.4%
Market54.2%24.2%21.6%
Final53.2%24.8%22.0%
Edge-1.1%+0.6%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Charleston Battery

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Charleston Bat ↓ / Hartford Athle → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Charleston Battery and Hartford Athletic expected goals

Charleston Battery 1.66
Hartford Athletic 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.74

Charleston Battery and Hartford Athletic attack and defence ratings

Charleston Battery

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Hartford Athletic

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic: result vs prediction

Charleston Battery 3 – 3 Hartford Athletic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Quarter-finals fixtures

USL Championship

Before and after this match

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Charleston Battery 53.2% 1.88 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.5% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Charleston Battery53.2%
Draw24.8%
Hartford Athletic22.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes54.5%
No45.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.0%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)46.8%
Handicap -1Charleston Battery win27.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
2-19.6%
1-09.6%

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic stats

Charleston Battery and Hartford Athletic recent form

newest first
Charleston Battery DWWDLW
Hartford Athletic WWLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Charleston Battery and Hartford Athletic going into this match

league record before kick-off

Charleston Battery record

  • They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hartford Athletic record

  • They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Charleston Battery wins 2Draws 2Hartford Athletic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-14Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship1-1
2026-09-02Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship1-2
2025-06-14Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship1-2
2025-05-03Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship4-2
2024-07-12Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship2-2
2024-05-04Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship1-0
2023-06-17Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship3-4
2023-04-08Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship3-2
2022-10-01Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship6-3
2022-07-17Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.2%, draw 24.2%, away 21.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.67 3.74 4.18
Bet365 1.67 3.50 4.20
BetVictor 1.67 3.80 4.40
Betano 1.70 3.60 4.25
Betfair 1.65 3.90 4.20
Dafabet 1.72 3.95 4.20
Marathonbet 1.65 3.74 4.10
Pinnacle 1.71 4.08 4.45
William Hill 1.67 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 —
X 3.74 ▼ -0.09
2 4.20 ▲ +0.08

8 snapshots recorded, from .