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USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs

1 – 1 Full time

11′A. Perez
43′D. Crisostomo
46′F. KleemannT. Wolff
48′T. Maples
56′J. Timmer
62′B. WilleyK. Edwards
62′C. JenningsF. Ajago
63′A. PerezS. Echevarria
71′F. DaromaT. Magee
71′P. BurnerB. Jamison
74′C. Herrera
75′K. Edwards
75′R. SpauldingM. Benitez
78′T. WolffM. Malango
88′A. RochaD. Lacroix
90′K. Bennett

Heart Health ParkReferee: A. Pennington

Sacramento Republic 48%
Draw 28%
Colorado Springs 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySacramento RepublicDrawColorado Springs
Model49.3%29.7%21.1%
Market47.2%27.5%25.3%
Final47.7%28.0%24.3%
Edge+0.5%+0.6%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Sacramento Republic

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.84.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sacramento Rep ↓ / Colorado Sprin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Sacramento Republic and Colorado Springs expected goals

Sacramento Republic 1.41
Colorado Springs 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.26

Sacramento Republic and Colorado Springs attack and defence ratings

Sacramento Republic

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Colorado Springs

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs: result vs prediction

Sacramento Republic 1 – 1 Colorado Springs

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sacramento Republic 47.7% 2.09 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.8% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.8% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sacramento Republic47.7%
Draw28.0%
Colorado Springs24.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.2%
Under 2.560.8%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.7%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)52.3%
Handicap -1Sacramento Republic win24.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss50.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-013.6%
0-011.7%

Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs stats

Sacramento Republic and Colorado Springs recent form

newest first
Sacramento Republic DWWDWD
Colorado Springs DDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sacramento Republic and Colorado Springs going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sacramento Republic record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Colorado Springs record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Sacramento Republic wins 1Draws 4Colorado Springs wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-14Colorado SpringsSacramento RepublicUSL Championship0-1
2026-02-28Colorado SpringsSacramento RepublicFriendlies Clubs1-0
2025-09-21Colorado SpringsSacramento RepublicUSL Championship0-2
2025-03-23Sacramento RepublicColorado SpringsUSL Championship2-2
2024-10-27Sacramento RepublicColorado SpringsUSL Championship0-1
2024-04-07Colorado SpringsSacramento RepublicUSL Championship0-2
2023-09-24Colorado SpringsSacramento RepublicUSL Championship2-0
2023-04-16Sacramento RepublicColorado SpringsUSL Championship4-0
2022-10-30Colorado SpringsSacramento RepublicUSL Championship2-1
2022-08-18Sacramento RepublicColorado SpringsUSL Championship3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 27.5%, away 25.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.90 3.32 3.58
Bet365 1.90 3.25 3.70
BetVictor 1.93 3.40 3.70
Betano 1.93 3.25 3.65
Betfair 1.91 3.30 3.60
Dafabet 1.99 3.40 3.60
Marathonbet 1.88 3.32 3.50
Pinnacle 1.99 3.53 3.70
William Hill 1.95 3.20 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▲ +0.10
X 3.32 ▼ -0.04
2 3.60 ▼ -0.26

10 snapshots recorded, from .