River Plate
vs
Santa Fe
1 – 1 Full time
River Plate vs Santa Fe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: River Plate vs Santa Fe
| Probability | River Plate | Draw | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.0% | 36.4% | 38.6% |
| Market | 65.5% | 22.7% | 11.8% |
| Final | 55.4% | 26.1% | 18.5% |
| Edge | -40.4% | +13.7% | +26.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
River Plate and Santa Fe expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.69
River Plate and Santa Fe attack and defence ratings
River Plate
Santa Fe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
River Plate vs Santa Fe: result vs prediction
River Plate 1 – 1 Santa Fe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
River Plate vs Santa Fe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | River Plate | 55.4% | 1.81 | -40.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | River Plate | 55.4% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Santa Fe | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.2% |
| No | 66.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | River Plate win | 7.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 75.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.8% |
| 0-1 | 16.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
River Plate vs Santa Fe stats
River Plate and Santa Fe recent form
| River Plate |
DDWLLL |
| Santa Fe |
DDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
River Plate and Santa Fe going into this match
River Plate record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
River Plate vs Santa Fe head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Santa Fe | River Plate | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-0 |
| 2021-05-20 | River Plate | Santa Fe | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-07 | Santa Fe | River Plate | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
River Plate vs Santa Fe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.5%, draw 22.7%, away 11.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.49 | 3.80 | 7.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.36 | 8.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.20 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.35 | 8.75 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.00 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.46 | 4.30 | 8.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.10 | 8.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 4.20 | 7.94 |
| SBO | 1.39 | 3.87 | 7.91 |
| Superbet | 1.46 | 4.20 | 7.70 |
| Unibet | 1.41 | 4.10 | 8.00 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.90 | 7.50 |