Banfield
vs
River Plate
2 – 3 Full time
| 32′ | S. Driussi | ||
| 41′ | T. Almada | ||
| 57′ | M. HernandezB. Sepulveda | ||
| 57′ | F. MedinaL. Pinero | ||
| 64′ | B. Sepulveda | ||
| 66′ | Bruno Sepúlveda | ||
| 69′ | G. MontielG. Gonzalez | ||
| 69′ | S. DriussiL. Beltran | ||
| 69′ | A. Correa | ||
| 76′ | N. PaisF. Alvarez | ||
| 76′ | T. AdoryanD. Zalazar | ||
| 80′ | A. MachadoF. Anselmo | ||
| 82′ | M. AcunaF. Ortega | ||
| 84′ | B. Sepulveda | ||
| 88′ | L. Martinez QuartaL. Rivero | ||
| 88′ | T. AndradaM. Arambarri |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 204 | Accurate passes | 415 |
Banfield vs River Plate overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Banfield vs River Plate
| Probability | Banfield | Draw | River Plate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 31.6% | 28.7% |
| Market | 20.5% | 28.8% | 50.7% |
| Final | 25.3% | 29.5% | 45.2% |
| Edge | +19.2% | +2.8% | -22.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Banfield and River Plate expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Banfield and River Plate attack and defence ratings
Banfield
River Plate
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Banfield vs River Plate: result vs prediction
Banfield 2 – 3 River Plate
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Banfield vs River Plate markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | River Plate | 45.2% | 2.21 | -22.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Banfield | 25.3% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| River Plate | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | River Plate win | 11.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 71.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.5% | |
| 1-0 | 12.1% |
Banfield vs River Plate stats
Banfield and River Plate recent form
| LDWLDW | |
| DDDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Banfield and River Plate going into this match
Banfield record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
River Plate record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Banfield vs River Plate head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | River Plate | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Banfield vs River Plate odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.5%, draw 28.8%, away 50.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.45 | 3.30 | 1.84 |
| 1xBet | 4.64 | 3.26 | 1.88 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.25 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.30 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.25 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 4.60 | 3.20 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 4.68 | 3.32 | 1.85 |
| SBO | 3.86 | 2.93 | 1.82 |
| Unibet | 4.35 | 3.30 | 1.87 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.10 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .