Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Banfield vs River Plate

2 – 3 Full time

32′S. Driussi
41′T. Almada
57′M. HernandezB. Sepulveda
57′F. MedinaL. Pinero
64′B. Sepulveda
66′Bruno Sepúlveda
69′G. MontielG. Gonzalez
69′S. DriussiL. Beltran
69′A. Correa
76′N. PaisF. Alvarez
76′T. AdoryanD. Zalazar
80′A. MachadoF. Anselmo
82′M. AcunaF. Ortega
84′B. Sepulveda
88′L. Martinez QuartaL. Rivero
88′T. AndradaM. Arambarri

Florencio Sola, Buenos AiresReferee: Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina

Banfield 25%
Draw 30%
River Plate 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 8
37 Possession % 63
4 Corners 2
9 Fouls 13
5 Offsides 3
5 Saves 3
204 Accurate passes 415

Banfield vs River Plate overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Banfield vs River Plate

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBanfieldDrawRiver Plate
Model39.7%31.6%28.7%
Market20.5%28.8%50.7%
Final25.3%29.5%45.2%
Edge+19.2%+2.8%-22.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Banfield ↓ / River Plate → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Banfield and River Plate expected goals

Banfield 1.21
River Plate 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.19

Banfield and River Plate attack and defence ratings

Banfield

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.14 +14%

River Plate

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Banfield vs River Plate: result vs prediction

Banfield 2 – 3 River Plate

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Banfield vs River Plate markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 River Plate 45.2% 2.21 -22.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score No 54.7% 1.83 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.3% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Banfield25.3%
Draw29.5%
River Plate45.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.6%
Under 2.562.4%
Both teams to scoreYes45.3%
No54.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.8%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)74.7%
Handicap -1River Plate win11.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss71.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-012.5%
1-012.1%

Banfield vs River Plate stats

Banfield and River Plate recent form

newest first
Banfield LDWLDW
River Plate DDDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Banfield and River Plate going into this match

league record before kick-off

Banfield record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.

River Plate record

  • They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Banfield vs River Plate head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Banfield wins 0Draws 1River Plate wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-26River PlateBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Banfield vs River Plate odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.5%, draw 28.8%, away 50.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.45 3.30 1.84
1xBet 4.64 3.26 1.88
Bet365 5.00 3.25 1.83
BetVictor 4.75 3.30 1.83
Betano 5.00 3.25 1.85
Betfair 4.33 3.30 1.85
Dafabet 4.60 3.20 1.83
Marathonbet 4.55 3.20 1.85
Pinnacle 4.68 3.32 1.85
SBO 3.86 2.93 1.82
Unibet 4.35 3.30 1.87
William Hill 4.40 3.10 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.57 ▼ -0.06
X 3.25 ▼ -0.05
2 1.85 ▲ +0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from .