Newells Old Boys
vs
Banfield
2 – 1 Full time
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Newells Old Boys vs Banfield
| Probability | Newells Old Boys | Draw | Banfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 29.4% | 27.6% |
| Market | 41.5% | 30.8% | 27.7% |
| Final | 41.9% | 30.5% | 27.6% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -1.5% | -0.0% |
Why Newells Old Boys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.07.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Newells Old Boys and Banfield expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Newells Old Boys and Banfield attack and defence ratings
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield: result vs prediction
Newells Old Boys 2 – 1 Banfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe — match page
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.
- Atletico Tucuman v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats
- Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra
- Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Platense
Before and after this match
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Newells Old Boys | 41.9% | 2.39 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Newells Old Boys | 41.9% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Banfield | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Newells Old Boys win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.8% |
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield stats
Newells Old Boys and Banfield recent form
| Newells Old Boys |
WLDLWD |
| Banfield |
DWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Newells Old Boys and Banfield going into this match
Newells Old Boys record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
Banfield record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Banfield | Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Newells Old Boys | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-27 | Banfield | Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 30.7%, away 27.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.22 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.14 | 3.42 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.27 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.08 | 3.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.21 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 2.88 | 3.00 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.05 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .