Garuda Lions
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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys

0 – 0 Full time

46′E. MancusoE. Meza
46′L. PioviA. Castro
55′Leandro González Pírez
73′F. GuchJ. Gomez
73′T. RiosM. E. Garcia
74′J. BurgosE. Cetre
74′J. CorreaB. Aguirre
80′R. HerreraL. Gomez
80′M. CoccaroF. Scarpeccio
83′B. RodriguezA. Gaich
88′Lucas Gómez
90′W. MazzanttiO. Salomon

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La PlataReferee: Juan Pafundi, Argentina

Estudiantes L.P. 56%
Draw 27%
Newells Old Boys 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 0
10 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 4
2 Saves 8
462 Accurate passes 238

Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEstudiantes L.P.DrawNewells Old Boys
Model55.8%25.2%19.0%
Market55.7%27.4%16.9%
Final55.7%26.9%17.4%
Edge+0.1%-2.3%+2.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Estudiantes L.P.

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.97.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Estudiantes L. ↓ / Newells Old Bo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Estudiantes L.P. and Newells Old Boys expected goals

Estudiantes L.P. 1.80
Newells Old Boys 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.78

Estudiantes L.P. and Newells Old Boys attack and defence ratings

Estudiantes L.P.

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Newells Old Boys

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys: result vs prediction

Estudiantes L.P. 0 – 0 Newells Old Boys

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Estudiantes L.P. 55.7% 1.80 +0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.5% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.2% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Estudiantes L.P.55.7%
Draw26.9%
Newells Old Boys17.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.5%
Under 2.547.5%
Both teams to scoreYes53.1%
No46.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.6%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)44.3%
Handicap -1Estudiantes L.P. win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss44.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-010.1%
2-010.1%

Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys stats

Estudiantes L.P. and Newells Old Boys recent form

newest first
Estudiantes L.P. WLWWDL
Newells Old Boys WWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Estudiantes L.P. and Newells Old Boys going into this match

league record before kick-off

Estudiantes L.P. record

  • They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Newells Old Boys record

  • They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Estudiantes L.P. wins 2Draws 3Newells Old Boys wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-25Newells Old BoysEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-2
2025-09-30Newells Old BoysEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-1
2025-03-15Estudiantes L.P.Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-08-02Newells Old BoysEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-4
2024-02-19Estudiantes L.P.Newells Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional2-0
2023-09-24Newells Old BoysEstudiantes L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional0-1
2023-03-31Estudiantes L.P.Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina3-0
2022-06-25Estudiantes L.P.Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2021-07-30Newells Old BoysEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina4-2
2020-12-12Newells Old BoysEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 27.4%, away 16.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.68 3.40 5.60
1xBet 1.71 3.44 5.60
Bet365 1.70 3.50 5.75
BetVictor 1.67 3.60 5.50
Betano 1.75 3.50 5.90
Betfair 1.67 3.50 5.00
Dafabet 1.71 3.40 5.20
Marathonbet 1.65 3.44 5.70
Pinnacle 1.74 3.47 5.76
SBO 1.70 3.26 4.74
Superbet 1.73 3.50 5.30
Unibet 1.67 3.45 5.60
William Hill 1.70 3.20 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▲ +0.04
X 3.45 ▼ -0.07
2 5.60 ▲ +0.08

11 snapshots recorded, from .