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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys

1 – 1 Full time

2′Franco Ibarra
6′Franco Escobar
24′Matías Cóccaro
45′Gaston Avila
59′Rodrigo HerreraJerónimo Gómez Mattar
60′Facundo Samuel GuchMateo García
60′Franco EscobarJeronimo Russo
61′G.Agustin Sandez
66′G.Agustin SandezAlexis Soto
66′Vicente PizarroFederico Navarro
75′Álan RodríguezGiovanni Ismael Cantizano
76′Enzo CopettiMarco Ruben
76′Gaston Avila
79′Martin Ortega
80′Walter MazzanttiJuan Ignacio Ramírez
82′Luca Regiardo
82′Lucas Carrizo
89′Martin OrtegaFrancisco Scarpeccio
90′Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra
90′Alexis Soto
90′Matías Cóccaro
90′Ángel Di MaríaSebastian Zaracho

Gigante de Arroyito, RosarioReferee: Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina

Rosario Central 56%
Draw 27%
Newells Old Boys 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
57 Possession % 43
10 Corners 2
20 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 3
1 Saves 1
244 Accurate passes 164

Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRosario CentralDrawNewells Old Boys
Model37.5%32.0%30.6%
Market61.8%25.7%12.5%
Final55.7%27.3%17.0%
Edge-24.3%+6.3%+18.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rosario Centra ↓ / Newells Old Bo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Rosario Central and Newells Old Boys expected goals

Rosario Central 1.15
Newells Old Boys 1.01

Total expected goals: 2.17

Rosario Central and Newells Old Boys attack and defence ratings

Rosario Central

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Newells Old Boys

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys: result vs prediction

Rosario Central 1 – 1 Newells Old Boys

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rosario Central 55.7% 1.80 -24.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.2% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 55.1% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.0% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.5% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rosario Central55.7%
Draw27.3%
Newells Old Boys17.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.8%
Under 2.563.2%
Both teams to scoreYes44.9%
No55.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.0%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)44.3%
Handicap -1Rosario Central win16.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss62.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.8%
1-011.9%

Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys stats

Rosario Central and Newells Old Boys recent form

newest first
Rosario Central LDLWDW
Newells Old Boys DWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rosario Central and Newells Old Boys going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rosario Central record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Newells Old Boys record

  • They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.

Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Rosario Central wins 2Draws 1Newells Old Boys wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01Newells Old BoysRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2025-08-23Rosario CentralNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2025-02-16Newells Old BoysRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2024-08-10Rosario CentralNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2024-02-25Newells Old BoysRosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional0-1
2023-09-30Rosario CentralNewells Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional1-0
2023-04-09Newells Old BoysRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2022-07-21Rosario CentralNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2022-03-20Rosario CentralNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2021-08-22Newells Old BoysRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.8%, draw 26.9%, away 14.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.67 3.35 5.75
1xBet 1.53 3.74 7.60
Bet365 1.53 3.50 8.50
BetVictor 1.50 3.80 7.50
Betano 1.67 3.40 6.30
Betfair 1.65 3.40 6.00
Dafabet 1.63 3.25 6.20
Marathonbet 1.53 3.62 7.00
Pinnacle 1.53 3.83 8.16
SBO 1.58 3.20 4.84
Unibet 1.64 3.40 6.10
William Hill 1.53 3.40 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.53 ▼ -0.20
X 3.68 ▲ +0.68
2 7.55 ▲ +1.19

19 snapshots recorded, from .