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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin

0 – 2 Full time

6′Gonzalo Maffini
14′Gonzalo Maffini
42′Ulises Adrian GimenezGaston Gonzalez
45′Gonzalo GonzálezRaúl Lozano
49′Lucas·SuarezGabriel Díaz
62′Siro RosanéTomás González
62′Fernando Rodríguez
67′Mauro ValienteMateo Bajamich
71′Junior Marabel
81′Julian MavillaThiago Santamaría
81′Santiago SalleGastón Alberto Arturia
81′Fernando RodríguezMartín Garnerone
82′Gabriel AlanisFrancesco Lo Celso
82′Jonathan HerreraElián Giménez

Antonio Candini, Rio CuartoReferee: Brian Ferreyra, Argentina

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 29%
Draw 33%
Sarmiento Junin 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
65 Possession % 35
14 Corners 1
9 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 2
3 Saves 3
408 Accurate passes 183

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEstudiantes de Rio CuartoDrawSarmiento Junin
Model24.6%31.1%44.3%
Market30.3%33.3%36.3%
Final28.9%32.8%38.3%
Edge-5.7%-2.2%+8.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Sarmiento Junin

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sarmiento Junin below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Estudiantes de ↓ / Sarmiento Juni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 13% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Sarmiento Junin expected goals

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.90
Sarmiento Junin 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.19

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Sarmiento Junin attack and defence ratings

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Attack 0.54 -46%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Sarmiento Junin

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 1.48 +48%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin: result vs prediction

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0 – 2 Sarmiento Junin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sarmiento Junin 38.3% 2.61 +8.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.6% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score No 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.7% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto28.9%
Draw32.8%
Sarmiento Junin38.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.4%
Under 2.562.6%
Both teams to scoreYes44.2%
No55.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.7%
12 (either side)67.2%
X2 (draw or away)71.1%
Handicap -1Sarmiento Junin win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss55.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-113.2%
0-012.5%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin stats

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Sarmiento Junin recent form

newest first
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto DDLLDL
Sarmiento Junin LWWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Sarmiento Junin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto record

  • They have won 2 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 23 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sarmiento Junin record

  • They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins 1Draws 1Sarmiento Junin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-03Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2021-01-16Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSarmiento JuninPrimera Nacional1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.2%, draw 33.3%, away 34.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.76 2.88 2.76
1xBet 3.00 2.83 2.73
Bet365 3.20 2.88 2.50
BetVictor 3.00 2.80 2.70
Betano 3.00 2.80 2.80
Betfair 2.80 2.80 2.75
Dafabet 2.90 2.80 2.70
Marathonbet 3.18 2.78 2.51
Pinnacle 3.34 2.92 2.56
SBO 2.64 2.66 2.52
Superbet 2.82 2.90 2.85
Unibet 2.65 2.85 2.95
William Hill 2.90 2.70 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.09 ▲ +0.42
X 2.81 ▼ -0.08
2 2.58 ▼ -0.29

8 snapshots recorded, from .