Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 8
Gimnasia M.
vs
Boca Juniors
2 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Kevin Zenon | ||
| 17′ | Alan Velasco | ||
| 19′ | I. Charparin | ||
| 20′ | Tomás O'ConnorMatías Vargas | ||
| 37′ | Luciano César Cingolani | ||
| 38′ | Kevin Zenon | ||
| 57′ | Jorge Nicolás Figal | ||
| 59′ | Alan VelascoCarlos Palacios | ||
| 61′ | Lautaro Petruchi | ||
| 65′ | Carlos Palacios | ||
| 68′ | Matías SatasLautaro Blanco | ||
| 68′ | Marco PellegrinoFacundo Ezequiel Herrera | ||
| 70′ | Lautaro Blanco | ||
| 78′ | Kevin ZenonLautaro Di Lollo | ||
| 78′ | Tomás BelmonteWilliams Alarcón | ||
| 80′ | Fermin AntoniniNahuel Barboza | ||
| 80′ | Luciano ParedesIsmael Cortéz | ||
| 81′ | Luciano César CingolaniValentino Simoni | ||
| 90′ | Diego MondinoBrian Andrada | ||
| 90′ | Esteban Fernández |
Gimnasia M.
32%
Draw
31%
Boca Juniors
37%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 369 | Accurate passes | 240 |
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors
| Probability | Gimnasia M. | Draw | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.8% | 30.5% | 29.7% |
| Market | 29.1% | 31.4% | 39.5% |
| Final | 31.8% | 31.2% | 37.1% |
| Edge | +10.7% | -0.9% | -9.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors expected goals
Gimnasia M.
1.27
Boca Juniors
1.06
Total expected goals: 2.34
Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors attack and defence ratings
Gimnasia M.
Attack
1.49 +49%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Boca Juniors
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors: result vs prediction
Gimnasia M. 2 – 2 Boca Juniors
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 8 fixtures
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin — team news & stats
- Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan
- Platense vs Deportivo Riestra — team news & stats
- Aldosivi v Banfield — match page
- Gimnasia L.P. v Tigre — match page
- San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba
- Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats
- Rosario Central v Newells Old Boys — match page
Before and after this match
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boca Juniors | 37.1% | 2.70 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia M. | 31.8% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Boca Juniors | 37.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Boca Juniors win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 70.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors stats
Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors recent form
| Gimnasia M. |
WWWLWL |
| Boca Juniors |
DWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors going into this match
Gimnasia M. record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boca Juniors record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Gimnasia M. wins
1Draws
0Boca Juniors wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Boca Juniors | Gimnasia M. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.9%, draw 31.5%, away 39.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.25 | 3.05 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 3.28 | 3.02 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.13 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 2.90 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 2.95 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 3.22 | 2.96 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 3.34 | 3.12 | 2.42 |
| SBO | 3.35 | 2.85 | 2.00 |
| Unibet | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 2.88 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.25 ▼ -1.95
X
3.01 ▼ -0.24
2
2.39 ▲ +0.64
15 snapshots recorded, from .