Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre

2 – 1 Full time

45′Bruno Leyes
45′German Conti
46′B. LeyesM. Garay
46′S. LopezM. Mendez
49′Mateo Seoane
50′I. Russo
61′M. ZalazarF. Torres
62′P. Silva TorrejonM. Melluso
64′Felipe Zenobio
65′Mauro Méndez
66′Ignacio Russo
67′A. Auzmendi
68′M. SeoaneA. Colazo
69′Enzo Martínez
77′L. JansonA. Steimbach
77′A. AuzmendiM. Torres
78′S. GonzalezI. Subiabre
78′V. MorenoI. Peluffo
90′Ignacio Miramón

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La PlataReferee: Daniel Zamora, Argentina

Gimnasia L.P. 37%
Draw 32%
Tigre 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
5 Corners 1
15 Fouls 14
6 Offsides 1
2 Saves 4
249 Accurate passes 289

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimnasia L.P.DrawTigre
Model38.9%31.8%29.3%
Market37.0%32.6%30.4%
Final37.5%32.4%30.1%
Edge+1.9%-0.8%-1.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Gimnasia L.P.

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimnasia L.P. ↓ / Tigre → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Gimnasia L.P. and Tigre expected goals

Gimnasia L.P. 1.18
Tigre 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.17

Gimnasia L.P. and Tigre attack and defence ratings

Gimnasia L.P.

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Tigre

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre: result vs prediction

Gimnasia L.P. 2 – 1 Tigre

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gimnasia L.P. 37.5% 2.67 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.9% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 55.0% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.9% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimnasia L.P.37.5%
Draw32.4%
Tigre30.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.1%
Under 2.562.9%
Both teams to scoreYes45.0%
No55.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.9%
12 (either side)67.6%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Gimnasia L.P. win17.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.7%
1-012.1%

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre stats

Gimnasia L.P. and Tigre recent form

newest first
Gimnasia L.P. WLDLWW
Tigre DWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimnasia L.P. and Tigre going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimnasia L.P. record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Tigre record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Gimnasia L.P. wins 4Draws 2Tigre wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-02TigreGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina2-2
2024-09-14TigreGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-1
2023-04-29Gimnasia L.P.TigreLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2022-09-25Gimnasia L.P.TigreLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2019-02-01Gimnasia L.P.TigreLiga Profesional Argentina3-1
2018-04-06TigreGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina2-0
2017-03-18TigreGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-1
2015-09-19Gimnasia L.P.TigreLiga Profesional Argentina1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 32.5%, away 31.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.70 2.84 2.88
1xBet 2.58 2.93 3.10
Bet365 2.55 2.88 3.25
BetVictor 2.55 2.90 3.10
Betano 2.75 2.87 2.95
Betfair 2.63 2.88 2.88
Dafabet 2.65 2.85 2.90
Marathonbet 2.53 2.88 3.04
Pinnacle 2.63 2.94 3.20
SBO 2.48 2.68 2.67
Unibet 2.45 3.05 3.05
William Hill 2.50 2.80 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▲ +0.10
X 2.89 ▲ +0.07
2 3.10 ▼ -0.12

13 snapshots recorded, from .