Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P.

1 – 1 Full time

26′Agustin Auzmendi
35′Bautista Barros Schelotto
41′Sebastián Prieto
45′César Gabriel FlorentínEmiliano Sebastian Viveros Mereles
45′Kevin CoronelClaudio Bravo
46′Nicolas Oroz
57′Lucas JansonAlexis Steimbach
64′Maximiliano ZalazarFranco Ramón Torres
74′Gastón Verón
79′Ignacio Fernández
79′Nicolas OrozFacundo Carrizo
84′Ignacio Miramon
84′Mateo SeoaneRodrigo Agustín Colazo
84′Agustin AuzmendiMarcelo Torres
84′Bautista Barros SchelottoRenzo Giampaoli
89′Tomas MolinaDiego Rodrigo Porcel
89′Hernan LopezMatías Giménez
90′Alexis Steimbach

Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos AiresReferee: Sebastian Nicolas Martinez, Argentina

Argentinos JRS 53%
Draw 27%
Gimnasia L.P. 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
64 Possession % 36
6 Corners 3
6 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 4
1 Saves 1
460 Accurate passes 236

Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P. overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P.

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArgentinos JRSDrawGimnasia L.P.
Model49.3%27.3%23.4%
Market54.0%27.1%18.9%
Final52.8%27.2%20.0%
Edge-4.7%+0.2%+4.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Argentinos JRS

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.04.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Argentinos JRS ↓ / Gimnasia L.P. → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Argentinos JRS and Gimnasia L.P. expected goals

Argentinos JRS 1.60
Gimnasia L.P. 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.64

Argentinos JRS and Gimnasia L.P. attack and defence ratings

Argentinos JRS

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Gimnasia L.P.

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P.: result vs prediction

Argentinos JRS 1 – 1 Gimnasia L.P.

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P. markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Argentinos JRS 52.8% 1.89 -4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.9% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.7% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.7% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Argentinos JRS52.8%
Draw27.2%
Gimnasia L.P.20.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.1%
Under 2.550.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.7%
No47.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.0%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)47.2%
Handicap -1Argentinos JRS win26.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss50.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
1-010.3%
2-19.5%

Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P. stats

Argentinos JRS and Gimnasia L.P. recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Argentinos JRS and Gimnasia L.P. going into this match

league record before kick-off

Argentinos JRS record

  • They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimnasia L.P. record

  • They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P. head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Argentinos JRS wins 2Draws 4Gimnasia L.P. wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Gimnasia L.P.Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2024-09-02Gimnasia L.P.Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2024-03-06Argentinos JRSGimnasia L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional2-0
2023-10-19Gimnasia L.P.Argentinos JRSCopa de la Liga Profesional3-2
2023-04-25Argentinos JRSGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina2-4
2022-10-17Gimnasia L.P.Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2022-03-05Gimnasia L.P.Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina2-2
2021-11-28Argentinos JRSGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina3-0
2021-08-18Gimnasia L.P.Argentinos JRSCopa Argentina2-3
2019-08-31Argentinos JRSGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P. odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.1%, draw 27.1%, away 18.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.71 3.45 5.10
1xBet 1.76 3.48 5.04
888Sport 1.73 3.30 4.80
Bet365 1.75 3.30 5.25
BetVictor 1.75 3.50 5.00
Betano 1.80 3.55 5.30
Betfair 1.70 3.50 5.00
Dafabet 1.70 3.40 5.00
Marathonbet 1.73 3.42 4.95
Pinnacle 1.78 3.59 5.13
SBO 1.73 3.04 4.15
Unibet 1.67 3.50 5.50
William Hill 1.73 3.30 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.08
X 3.48 ▲ +0.08
2 5.00 ▼ -0.50

14 snapshots recorded, from .