Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 9
Defensa Y Justicia
vs
Gimnasia M.
2 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | Leandro Fernández | ||
| 34′ | Facundo LencioniBrian Andrada | ||
| 45′ | Héctor David Martínez | ||
| 50′ | Diego Mondino | ||
| 57′ | David Barbona | ||
| 63′ | Fermin AntoniniNahuel Barboza | ||
| 63′ | Esteban FernándezAgustín Módica | ||
| 63′ | Ulises SánchezMatías Vargas | ||
| 66′ | David BarbonaMaximiliano Porcel | ||
| 70′ | Luciano Paredes | ||
| 75′ | Luciano César Cingolani | ||
| 76′ | Luciano César CingolaniSantiago Rodríguez | ||
| 79′ | Jeremías LuccoAgustin Hausch | ||
| 79′ | Leandro FernándezTiziano Perrotta | ||
| 83′ | Juan Manuel GutiérrezE Burdin |
Defensa Y Justicia
40%
Draw
27%
Gimnasia M.
32%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 274 | Accurate passes | 296 |
Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.
| Probability | Defensa Y Justicia | Draw | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.3% | 24.7% | 51.0% |
| Market | 45.6% | 28.2% | 26.2% |
| Final | 40.2% | 27.4% | 32.4% |
| Edge | -21.2% | -3.5% | +24.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
6%
Defensa Y Justicia and Gimnasia M. expected goals
Defensa Y Justicia
1.24
Gimnasia M.
1.86
Total expected goals: 3.10
Defensa Y Justicia and Gimnasia M. attack and defence ratings
Defensa Y Justicia
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.39 +39%
Gimnasia M.
Attack
1.53 +53%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.: result vs prediction
Defensa Y Justicia 2 – 0 Gimnasia M.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 9 fixtures
- Newells Old Boys v Velez Sarsfield — match page
- Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago — team news & stats
- Estudiantes L.P. v Platense — match page
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi
- Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate — team news & stats
- Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe
- Tigre vs Rosario Central
- Sarmiento Junin v Belgrano Cordoba — match page
Before and after this match
Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 40.2% | 2.49 | -21.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 40.2% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Gimnasia M. | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% |
| No | 39.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Defensa Y Justicia win | 10.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.0% | |
| Loss | 75.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.8% |
Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. stats
Defensa Y Justicia and Gimnasia M. recent form
| Defensa Y Justicia |
LWWDWL |
| Gimnasia M. |
DWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Defensa Y Justicia and Gimnasia M. going into this match
Defensa Y Justicia record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Gimnasia M. record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Defensa Y Justicia wins
0Draws
1Gimnasia M. wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Gimnasia M. | Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 29.3%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.65 |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.36 | 3.64 |
| 888Sport | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.15 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.30 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.43 | 3.73 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.82 | 3.04 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 2.08 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.06 ▼ -0.14
X
3.33 ▲ +0.19
2
3.59 ▲ +0.19
16 snapshots recorded, from .