Garuda Lions
Today
Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra

0 – 0 Full time

46′B. AndradaM. Vargas
46′N. BarbozaI. Sabatini
46′A. StringaP. Ramirez
48′Pedro Ramírez
51′Agustín Modica
57′A. GranerosT. Gonzalez
60′Luciano Cingolani
69′Ignacio Sabatini
70′U. SanchezT. Ortiz
70′L. CingolaniB. Armoa
80′L. ParedesJ. Franco
84′J. GoitiaN. Watson
84′A. DiazA. Alonso
86′Manuel Aiello
90′Juan Franco

Victor Legrotaglie, MendozaReferee: A. Gariano

Gimnasia M. 47%
Draw 31%
Deportivo Riestra 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
72 Possession % 28
4 Corners 2
10 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 5
2 Saves 3
454 Accurate passes 124

Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimnasia M.DrawDeportivo Riestra
Model62.5%23.0%14.6%
Market41.5%33.1%25.4%
Final46.7%30.6%22.7%
Edge+21.0%-10.1%-10.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Gimnasia M.

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Gimnasia M. below the model: +21.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimnasia M. ↓ / Deportivo Ries → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Gimnasia M. and Deportivo Riestra expected goals

Gimnasia M. 1.97
Deportivo Riestra 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.83

Gimnasia M. and Deportivo Riestra attack and defence ratings

Gimnasia M.

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Deportivo Riestra

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra: result vs prediction

Gimnasia M. 0 – 0 Deportivo Riestra

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gimnasia M. 46.7% 2.14 +21.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.9% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.6% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Gimnasia M. win 38.8% 2.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimnasia M.46.7%
Draw30.6%
Deportivo Riestra22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.9%
Under 2.546.1%
Both teams to scoreYes50.6%
No49.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)69.4%
X2 (draw or away)53.3%
Handicap -1Gimnasia M. win38.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss37.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.5%
1-111.0%
1-010.6%

Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra stats

Gimnasia M. and Deportivo Riestra recent form

newest first
Gimnasia M. LDWWWL
Deportivo Riestra LDDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimnasia M. and Deportivo Riestra going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimnasia M. record

  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Riestra record

  • They have won 3 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 25 matches.

Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Gimnasia M. wins 5Draws 0Deportivo Riestra wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-12Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina0-0
2022-03-23Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.Primera Nacional0-0
2021-10-18Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.Primera Nacional0-0
2021-06-23Gimnasia M.Deportivo RiestraPrimera Nacional1-1
2020-12-14Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.Primera Nacional1-3
2019-10-07Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.Primera Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.7%, draw 32.7%, away 25.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.14 2.90 3.85
1xBet 2.33 2.85 3.68
888Sport 2.15 2.75 3.80
Bet365 2.30 2.88 3.75
BetVictor 2.25 2.90 3.60
Betano 2.35 2.90 3.55
Betfair 2.25 2.88 3.60
Dafabet 2.11 2.85 3.95
Marathonbet 2.24 2.83 3.64
Pinnacle 2.33 2.95 3.77
SBO 2.23 2.65 3.09
William Hill 2.30 2.70 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.15
X 2.88 —
2 3.75 ▼ -0.10

22 snapshots recorded, from .