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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin

3 – 1 Full time

23′G. Escudero
26′J. Marabel
39′J. Insaurralde
52′Adrian Martinez
58′J. HerreraDiego Churin
58′J. ContreraJ. Renteria
62′C. Zabala
63′Adrian Martinez
71′M. Martinez
78′G. EscuderoN. Colombo
80′I. Rodriguez
81′M. MartinezE. Gimenez
81′N. PasquiniG. Diaz
82′J. MavillaG. Gonzalez
83′S. Salle
85′U. OrtegozaM. Kranevitter
85′G. A. LodicoM. Miljevic
90′Adrian MartinezE. Torres
90′L. DiazD. Vergara

Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, AvellanedaReferee: L. Rey Hilfer

Racing Club 51%
Draw 26%
Sarmiento Junin 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
62 Possession % 38
7 Corners 2
7 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
0 Saves 3
341 Accurate passes 172

Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRacing ClubDrawSarmiento Junin
Model38.0%25.5%36.5%
Market55.6%26.3%18.1%
Final51.2%26.1%22.7%
Edge-17.6%-0.8%+18.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Racing Club ↓ / Sarmiento Juni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Racing Club and Sarmiento Junin expected goals

Racing Club 1.62
Sarmiento Junin 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.21

Racing Club and Sarmiento Junin attack and defence ratings

Racing Club

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Sarmiento Junin

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin: result vs prediction

Racing Club 3 – 1 Sarmiento Junin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Racing Club 51.2% 1.95 -17.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.3% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.0% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Racing Club51.2%
Draw26.1%
Sarmiento Junin22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.3%
Under 2.537.7%
Both teams to scoreYes64.9%
No35.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)48.8%
Handicap -1Racing Club win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss62.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-18.4%
1-28.2%

Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin stats

Racing Club and Sarmiento Junin recent form

newest first
Racing Club LLLDWL
Sarmiento Junin DWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Racing Club and Sarmiento Junin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Racing Club record

  • They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sarmiento Junin record

  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Racing Club wins 3Draws 2Sarmiento Junin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-11Sarmiento JuninRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2024-07-24Sarmiento JuninRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2024-03-05Racing ClubSarmiento JuninCopa de la Liga Profesional0-1
2023-10-20Sarmiento JuninRacing ClubCopa de la Liga Profesional1-1
2023-03-12Racing ClubSarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2022-07-03Sarmiento JuninRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2022-04-02Racing ClubSarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina4-1
2021-07-31Racing ClubSarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2017-04-15Sarmiento JuninRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2015-07-18Racing ClubSarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 26.6%, away 17.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.66 3.45 5.70
1xBet 1.72 3.60 5.21
888Sport 1.67 3.20 5.50
Bet365 1.67 3.60 5.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.60 5.25
Betano 1.72 3.75 5.60
Betfair 1.67 3.50 5.00
Dafabet 1.62 3.45 5.80
Marathonbet 1.68 3.52 5.10
Pinnacle 1.72 3.67 5.31
SBO 1.67 3.35 4.78
William Hill 1.70 3.30 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▲ +0.03
X 3.60 ▲ +0.15
2 5.21 ▼ -0.49

20 snapshots recorded, from .