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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 10

River Plate vs Huracan

1 – 2 Full time

6′T. AlmadaL. Beltran
9′O. Cortes
36′Máximo Palazzo
36′T. AndradaM. Arambarri
62′F. KalingerJ. Bisanz
65′T. Galvan
67′César Ibáñez
75′L. GilL. Mora
80′L. Blondel
81′M. AcunaF. Ortega
86′Juan Bisanz
88′F. F. Waller MartiarenaH. Nervo
88′J. CaicedoL. Lescano
88′O. CortesE. Ojeda
90′Gonzalo Montiel

Estadio Monumental, Buenos AiresReferee: F. Tello

River Plate 59%
Draw 26%
Huracan 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
75 Possession % 25
4 Corners 0
7 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
0 Saves 2
554 Accurate passes 113

River Plate vs Huracan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: River Plate vs Huracan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRiver PlateDrawHuracan
Model48.4%29.3%22.3%
Market62.8%24.8%12.5%
Final59.2%25.9%14.9%
Edge-14.3%+4.5%+9.8%

Confidence: Low

Why River Plate

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

River Plate ↓ / Huracan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 7% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

River Plate and Huracan expected goals

River Plate 1.44
Huracan 0.90

Total expected goals: 2.34

River Plate and Huracan attack and defence ratings

River Plate

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Huracan

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

River Plate vs Huracan: result vs prediction

River Plate 1 – 2 Huracan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

River Plate vs Huracan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 River Plate 59.2% 1.69 -14.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.1% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2River Plate59.2%
Draw25.9%
Huracan14.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
Both teams to scoreYes46.5%
No53.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.1%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)40.8%
Handicap -1River Plate win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss51.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-012.6%
0-010.9%

River Plate vs Huracan stats

River Plate and Huracan recent form

newest first
River Plate WWWDDD
Huracan WDDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

River Plate and Huracan going into this match

league record before kick-off

River Plate record

  • They have won 16 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Huracan record

  • They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

River Plate vs Huracan head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4River Plate wins 2Draws 3Huracan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-13HuracanRiver PlateLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2024-08-10River PlateHuracanLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-03-29HuracanRiver PlateCopa de la Liga Profesional1-0
2023-11-04River PlateHuracanCopa de la Liga Profesional1-2
2023-04-09HuracanRiver PlateLiga Profesional Argentina0-3
2022-07-04HuracanRiver PlateLiga Profesional Argentina3-2
2021-08-01River PlateHuracanLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2020-12-21HuracanRiver PlateLiga Profesional Argentina1-3
2019-09-14HuracanRiver PlateLiga Profesional Argentina0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

River Plate vs Huracan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.7%, draw 24.8%, away 12.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.52 3.82 7.45
Bet365 1.50 3.70 8.50
BetVictor 1.50 3.80 7.50
Betano 1.55 3.90 7.90
Betfair 1.50 3.80 7.50
Marathonbet 1.48 3.80 7.30
Pinnacle 1.52 3.95 7.55
SBO 1.46 3.45 5.80
William Hill 1.50 3.60 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.02
X 3.80 ▲ +0.20
2 7.55 ▼ -0.15

14 snapshots recorded, from .