Garuda Lions
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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield

2 – 2 Full time

20′A. Auzmendi
38′L. Gomez
46′B. OviedoR. Malanca
46′M. LopezS. Lopez
46′A. MachadoM. Hernandez
61′N. SchelottoA. Steimbach
61′B. Barros SchelottoA. Colazo
62′P. Silva Torrejon
65′Lautaro Gomez
67′L. JansonM. Panaro
69′L. GomezD. Zalazar
72′M. ZalazarR. Giampaoli
72′A. AuzmendiM. Torres
75′S. DanieleL. Pinero
82′Favio Álvarez
90′D. Zalazar

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La PlataReferee: J. Balino

Gimnasia L.P. 54%
Draw 26%
Banfield 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
56 Possession % 44
5 Corners 2
9 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
3 Saves 5
352 Accurate passes 267

Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimnasia L.P.DrawBanfield
Model57.4%23.2%19.3%
Market52.5%27.4%20.1%
Final53.7%26.4%19.9%
Edge+5.0%-4.2%-0.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Gimnasia L.P.

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Gimnasia L.P. below the model: +5.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimnasia L.P. ↓ / Banfield → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 5% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 6% 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Gimnasia L.P. and Banfield expected goals

Gimnasia L.P. 2.02
Banfield 1.11

Total expected goals: 3.13

Gimnasia L.P. and Banfield attack and defence ratings

Gimnasia L.P.

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Banfield

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield: result vs prediction

Gimnasia L.P. 2 – 2 Banfield

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gimnasia L.P. 53.7% 1.86 +5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.1% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.1% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.6% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimnasia L.P.53.7%
Draw26.4%
Banfield19.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%
Both teams to scoreYes59.1%
No40.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.1%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)46.3%
Handicap -1Gimnasia L.P. win35.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss42.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.9%
2-08.9%

Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield stats

Gimnasia L.P. and Banfield recent form

newest first
Gimnasia L.P. DWWLDL
Banfield DDLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimnasia L.P. and Banfield going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimnasia L.P. record

  • They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Banfield record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Gimnasia L.P. wins 2Draws 5Banfield wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-11BanfieldGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-2
2024-05-26Gimnasia L.P.BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina3-0
2024-04-14Gimnasia L.P.BanfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional1-2
2023-11-25BanfieldGimnasia L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional2-0
2023-02-12BanfieldGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-0
2022-10-09BanfieldGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-2
2022-02-21BanfieldGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina4-0
2021-11-07Gimnasia L.P.BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2020-12-22BanfieldGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina2-1
2020-03-13Gimnasia L.P.BanfieldCopa de la Superliga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.5%, draw 27.5%, away 21.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.84 3.43 4.60
Bet365 1.80 3.40 4.75
BetVictor 1.83 3.50 4.50
Betano 1.91 3.40 4.30
Betfair 1.80 3.50 4.40
Marathonbet 1.75 3.44 4.70
Pinnacle 1.84 3.60 4.65
SBO 1.84 3.02 3.67
William Hill 1.80 3.25 4.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.09
X 3.44 ▲ +0.02
2 4.70 ▼ -0.54

18 snapshots recorded, from .