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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Banfield vs Rosario Central

1 – 1 Full time

12′Tomas Adoryan
17′Gaspar DuarteJulian Fernandez
24′Lautaro Martín GómezLisandro Geronimo Piñero
30′Federico Navarro
41′Tomas Adoryan
68′David ZalazarLautaro Villegas
76′Emanuel Coronel
80′Giovanni Ismael Cantizano
82′Julian FernandezMarco Ruben
82′Emanuel CoronelElías Enzo Verón
83′Tomas AdoryanIgnacio Pais Mayán
83′Adrián BalboaMatías Hernández
83′Santiago Esquivel
89′Alexis SotoSebastian Zaracho
89′Enzo CopettiTomás Badaloni

Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos AiresReferee: Leandro Rey Hilfer

Banfield 25%
Draw 29%
Rosario Central 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
35 Possession % 65
7 Corners 3
11 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
1 Saves 4
197 Accurate passes 457

Banfield vs Rosario Central overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Banfield vs Rosario Central

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBanfieldDrawRosario Central
Model32.1%30.5%37.4%
Market22.3%28.8%49.0%
Final24.7%29.2%46.1%
Edge+9.9%+1.7%-11.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Rosario Central

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Banfield ↓ / Rosario Centra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Banfield and Rosario Central expected goals

Banfield 1.13
Rosario Central 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.36

Banfield and Rosario Central attack and defence ratings

Banfield

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Rosario Central

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Banfield vs Rosario Central: result vs prediction

Banfield 1 – 1 Rosario Central

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Banfield vs Rosario Central markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rosario Central 46.1% 2.17 -11.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.7% 1.97 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.7% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Banfield24.7%
Draw29.2%
Rosario Central46.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.1%
Under 2.557.9%
Both teams to scoreYes49.3%
No50.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.9%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)75.3%
Handicap -1Rosario Central win16.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss62.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.7%
0-110.3%

Banfield vs Rosario Central stats

Banfield and Rosario Central recent form

newest first
Banfield DDDLLL
Rosario Central WWDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Banfield and Rosario Central going into this match

league record before kick-off

Banfield record

  • They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Rosario Central record

  • They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Banfield vs Rosario Central head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Banfield wins 3Draws 3Rosario Central wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15Rosario CentralBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2024-10-20Rosario CentralBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-01-30Rosario CentralBanfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional0-0
2023-08-28BanfieldRosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional3-0
2023-05-29BanfieldRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2022-08-22Rosario CentralBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2021-09-15BanfieldRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2021-04-11Rosario CentralBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina3-1
2020-12-05BanfieldRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2020-11-13Rosario CentralBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina2-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Banfield vs Rosario Central odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.3%, draw 28.8%, away 49.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.28 3.32 1.93
Bet365 4.50 3.25 1.91
BetVictor 4.20 3.30 1.93
Betano 4.40 3.25 1.93
Betfair 4.00 3.40 1.90
Marathonbet 4.20 3.25 1.89
Pinnacle 4.29 3.38 1.95
SBO 3.65 3.00 1.91
William Hill 4.00 3.10 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.20 —
X 3.25 ▼ -0.05
2 1.91 ▼ -0.03

20 snapshots recorded, from .