Tigre
vs
Banfield
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tigre
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Tigre vs Banfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tigre vs Banfield
| Probability | Tigre | Draw | Banfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 27.7% | 29.6% |
| Market | 54.2% | 27.8% | 18.0% |
| Final | 51.3% | 27.8% | 20.9% |
| Edge | -11.4% | -0.1% | +11.5% |
Why Tigre
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.76, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Tigre vs Banfield match preview
Tigre and Banfield are set to clash in the Liga Profesional Argentina on October 10, 2026. Tigre holds a slight edge with a 51% probability of winning, while Banfield stands at 21%, and a draw is at 28%. The expected goals for Tigre is 1.56 compared to Banfield's 1.25, indicating a potentially competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Tigre, with a 9% probability.
Recent form shows Tigre struggling with four consecutive losses followed by a draw and a win, while Banfield has not fared much better, with three draws and three losses in their last six matches. Historically, the last four encounters have seen Tigre and Banfield each winning two matches, highlighting the competitive nature of their rivalry.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tigre and Banfield expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Tigre and Banfield attack and defence ratings
Tigre
Banfield
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
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- Barracas Central vs Huracan
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
- Rosario Central v Independ. Rivadavia — match page
- Platense vs Argentinos JRS
Before and after this match
Tigre vs Banfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tigre | 51.3% | 1.95 | -11.4% | 1.76 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tigre | 51.3% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Banfield | 20.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% |
| No | 43.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tigre win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Tigre vs Banfield stats
Tigre and Banfield recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tigre and Banfield season so far
Tigre record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Banfield record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Tigre vs Banfield head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Banfield | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Banfield | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Tigre | Banfield | Copa Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-25 | Tigre | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-18 | Banfield | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-05 | Tigre | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-2 |
| 2022-06-19 | Tigre | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2019-02-08 | Tigre | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 4-4 |
| 2018-01-26 | Tigre | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-2 |
| 2017-04-29 | Tigre | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tigre vs Banfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.2%, draw 27.8%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.39 | 5.31 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.30 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.35 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.32 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73 | 3.52 | 5.19 |
| SBO | 1.71 | 3.04 | 4.29 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .