Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 12
San Lorenzo
vs
Deportivo Riestra
1 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Alexis·Cuello | ||
| 41′ | Alexander Díaz | ||
| 42′ | Emiliano Amor | ||
| 45′ | Gonzalo AlassiaAgustín Ladstatter | ||
| 52′ | Braian Sánchez | ||
| 54′ | Braian SánchezÁngel Almada | ||
| 58′ | Mariano Bracamonte | ||
| 60′ | Alexis·CuelloGustavo Del Prete | ||
| 67′ | Teo Rodríguez Pagano | ||
| 70′ | Antony AlonsoGabriel Obredor | ||
| 70′ | Mariano BracamonteJonathan Goitia | ||
| 70′ | Alexander DíazTomás González | ||
| 78′ | Facundo GulliMartín Rio | ||
| 80′ | Nicolás SansotreNicolas Benegas | ||
| 88′ | Ángel Almada | ||
| 89′ | Rodrigo Auzmendi | ||
| 90′ | Rodrigo AuzmendiEzequiel Herrera |
San Lorenzo
35%
Draw
35%
Deportivo Riestra
30%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 378 | Accurate passes | 146 |
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
| Probability | San Lorenzo | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.5% | 39.8% | 33.7% |
| Market | 38.0% | 33.7% | 28.3% |
| Final | 35.2% | 35.2% | 29.7% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +1.5% | +1.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
75%
2+ goals
44%
3+ goals
18%
No goals
25%
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra expected goals
San Lorenzo
0.67
Deportivo Riestra
0.79
Total expected goals: 1.45
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra attack and defence ratings
San Lorenzo
Attack
0.57 -43%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Deportivo Riestra
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra: result vs prediction
San Lorenzo 1 – 0 Deportivo Riestra
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Sarmiento Junin — match page
- Gimnasia L.P. v Atletico Tucuman — match page
- Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors — team news & stats
- Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Huracan
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Tigre v Banfield — match page
- River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
Before and after this match
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.2% | 2.84 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Lorenzo | 35.2% |
| Draw | 35.2% | |
| Deportivo Riestra | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.8% |
| No | 72.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Lorenzo win | 7.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 73.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.6% |
| 0-1 | 17.2% | |
| 1-0 | 14.3% |
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra stats
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra recent form
| San Lorenzo |
LLDWLD |
| Deportivo Riestra |
DDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra going into this match
San Lorenzo record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Riestra record
- They have won 3 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 27 matches.
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1San Lorenzo wins
3Draws
1Deportivo Riestra wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra | Copa Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Deportivo Riestra | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-31 | San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Deportivo Riestra | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Deportivo Riestra | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 33.7%, away 28.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 2.81 | 3.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 2.88 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 2.82 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 2.80 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 2.75 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 2.75 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55 | 2.74 | 3.63 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 2.66 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 2.70 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.46 ▲ +0.25
X
2.77 ▼ -0.04
2
3.30 ▼ -0.45
32 snapshots recorded, from .