San Lorenzo
vs
Deportivo Riestra
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 25% model probability
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
| Probability | San Lorenzo | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.6% | 39.8% | 33.7% |
| Market | 38.0% | 33.7% | 28.3% |
| Final | 35.1% | 35.2% | 29.7% |
| Edge | -11.4% | +6.1% | +5.3% |
Why the draw
- The market prices the draw below the model: +6.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.88, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra match preview
San Lorenzo faces Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with both teams displaying mixed recent form. San Lorenzo has recorded two losses, a draw, and a win in their last five matches, while Deportivo Riestra has struggled with six consecutive draws and one loss. The probabilities suggest a close contest, with San Lorenzo at 35%, a draw also at 35%, and Deportivo Riestra at 29%.
The expected goals indicate a tight match, with San Lorenzo projected at 0.67 and Deportivo Riestra at 0.79. Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 0-0 at 25%, and there is a low likelihood of over 2.5 goals at just 18%. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 28%, reflecting a potentially defensive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.46
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra attack and defence ratings
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Barracas Central vs Huracan
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Tigre v Banfield — match page
- River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
- Rosario Central v Independ. Rivadavia — match page
- Platense vs Argentinos JRS
- Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba
- Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente — team news & stats
Before and after this match
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.2% | 2.84 | +6.1% | 2.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Lorenzo | 35.1% |
| Draw | 35.2% | |
| Deportivo Riestra | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.8% |
| No | 72.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Lorenzo win | 7.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 73.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.6% |
| 0-1 | 17.1% | |
| 1-0 | 14.4% |
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra stats
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra recent form
| San Lorenzo |
LLDWLD |
| Deportivo Riestra |
DDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra season so far
San Lorenzo record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Riestra record
- They have won 3 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 26 matches.
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra | Copa Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Deportivo Riestra | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-31 | San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Deportivo Riestra | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 33.7%, away 28.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 2.81 | 3.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 2.88 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 2.85 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 2.88 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 2.75 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 2.75 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 2.74 | 3.40 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 2.65 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.62 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .