Central Cordoba de Santiago
vs
Estudiantes L.P.
Garuda Lions Prediction: Estudiantes L.P.
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P.
| Probability | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Draw | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.0% | 30.4% | 46.6% |
| Market | 29.7% | 32.0% | 38.3% |
| Final | 28.0% | 31.6% | 40.3% |
| Edge | -6.7% | -1.6% | +8.3% |
Why Estudiantes L.P.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Estudiantes L.P. below the model: +8.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. match preview
Central Cordoba de Santiago faces Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with kickoff set for 2026-10-10 at 20:00 UTC. The model indicates a 25% chance for a Central Cordoba victory, a 31% probability of a draw, and a 43% likelihood that Estudiantes L.P. will win. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Central Cordoba's expected goals stand at 0.93, while Estudiantes L.P. has a higher expectation of 1.27.
In recent form, Central Cordoba has struggled, recording D-L-L-D-L-L, while Estudiantes L.P. shows a mixed performance with L-L-W-W-D-L. In their last four encounters, Central Cordoba has secured 1 win, while Estudiantes L.P. has claimed 3 victories. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 38%, and both teams to score stands at 45%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes L.P. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes L.P. attack and defence ratings
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Estudiantes L.P.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Gimnasia L.P. v Atletico Tucuman — match page
- Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors — team news & stats
- Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Huracan
- Tigre v Banfield — match page
- River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
- Rosario Central v Independ. Rivadavia — match page
Before and after this match
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 40.3% | 2.48 | +8.3% | 2.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 28.0% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Estudiantes L.P. | 40.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.5% |
| No | 55.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Estudiantes L.P. win | 22.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 53.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. stats
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes L.P. recent form
| Central Cordoba de Santiago |
DDLLDL |
| Estudiantes L.P. |
WLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes L.P. season so far
Central Cordoba de Santiago record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes L.P. record
- They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Estudiantes L.P. | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina | 5-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-21 | Estudiantes L.P. | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-2 |
| 2024-11-10 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-17 | Estudiantes L.P. | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Copa Argentina | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-07 | Estudiantes L.P. | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 5-0 |
| 2023-11-10 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Estudiantes L.P. | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-01 | Estudiantes L.P. | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-10 | Estudiantes L.P. | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.7%, draw 32.0%, away 38.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.24 | 2.95 | 2.46 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 2.82 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 2.95 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 2.89 | 2.41 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20 | 2.96 | 2.51 |
| SBO | 2.95 | 2.80 | 2.21 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .