Estudiantes L.P.
vs
Flamengo
0 – 0 Full time
| 35′ | Alexis Castro | ||
| 43′ | Lucas Piovi | ||
| 63′ | Lucas Paquetá | ||
| 68′ | Tiago PalaciosJoaquín Correa | ||
| 71′ | Jorge Carrascal | ||
| 74′ | Joaquín Tobio BurgosEdwuin Cetre | ||
| 75′ | Baltasar Gallego RodriguezMiguel Monsalve | ||
| 80′ | Samuel LinoGonzalo Plata | ||
| 80′ | Bruno HenriquePedro | ||
| 85′ | Lucas PaquetáJoaquín Freitas | ||
| 86′ | Guillermo Varela |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Saves | 6 |
| 273 | Accurate passes | 361 |
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo
| Probability | Estudiantes L.P. | Draw | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.9% | 30.6% | 33.5% |
| Market | 25.0% | 31.5% | 43.5% |
| Final | 27.7% | 31.3% | 41.0% |
| Edge | +2.7% | -0.2% | -2.5% |
Why Flamengo
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo attack and defence ratings
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo: result vs prediction
Estudiantes L.P. 0 – 0 Flamengo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Semi-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flamengo | 41.0% | 2.44 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 27.7% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Flamengo | 41.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flamengo win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 66.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo stats
Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo recent form
| Estudiantes L.P. |
DWLLWW |
| Flamengo |
WDWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo going into this match
Estudiantes L.P. record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Flamengo record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Flamengo | Estudiantes L.P. | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Flamengo | Estudiantes L.P. | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.0%, draw 31.5%, away 43.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.87 | 3.02 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.85 | 3.15 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.90 | 2.94 | 2.26 |
| Marathonbet | 3.75 | 2.93 | 2.14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.96 | 2.98 | 2.19 |
| SBO | 3.25 | 2.74 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 3.70 | 2.80 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .