Instituto Cordoba
vs
Boca Juniors
Garuda Lions Prediction: Boca Juniors
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors
| Probability | Instituto Cordoba | Draw | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 28.4% | 34.1% |
| Market | 31.8% | 32.4% | 35.8% |
| Final | 33.2% | 31.4% | 35.4% |
| Edge | +5.7% | -4.0% | -1.7% |
Why Boca Juniors
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.77, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors match preview
Instituto Cordoba faces Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with kickoff set for October 9, 2026. The match presents a competitive landscape, with Instituto Cordoba having a 33% chance of winning, while Boca Juniors is slightly favored at 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 56% likelihood, and the forecasted expected goals stand at 1.38 for Instituto Cordoba and 1.30 for Boca Juniors.
Recent form indicates that Instituto Cordoba has secured three wins in their last five matches, alongside one draw and one loss. Boca Juniors, on the other hand, has shown strong performance with four wins and one draw in their last six games. The head-to-head record in the last three encounters shows one win for each team and one draw, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Instituto Cordoba and Boca Juniors expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Instituto Cordoba and Boca Juniors attack and defence ratings
Instituto Cordoba
Boca Juniors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Sarmiento Junin — match page
- Gimnasia L.P. v Atletico Tucuman — match page
- Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Huracan
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Tigre v Banfield — match page
- River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
Before and after this match
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boca Juniors | 35.4% | 2.83 | -1.7% | 2.77 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Instituto Cordoba | 33.2% |
| Draw | 31.4% | |
| Boca Juniors | 35.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Boca Juniors win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 65.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors stats
Instituto Cordoba and Boca Juniors recent form
| Instituto Cordoba |
WWWLWD |
| Boca Juniors |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Instituto Cordoba and Boca Juniors season so far
Instituto Cordoba record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boca Juniors record
- They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Boca Juniors | Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-28 | Instituto Cordoba | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-19 | Boca Juniors | Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.8%, draw 32.4%, away 35.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.95 | 2.94 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 2.95 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 2.90 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.89 | 2.88 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 3.03 | 2.96 | 2.74 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 2.85 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .