Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors

2 – 2 Full time

14′Fernando Alarcon
22′Gustavo Abregú
23′Enner Valencia
45′Giuliano CeratoHernán De La Fuente
48′Jonathan Galván
53′Williams Alarcón
55′Milton DelgadoLeandro Paredes
55′Enner ValenciaMiguel Merentiel
56′Miguel Merentiel
71′Matías TisseraFacundo Ezquel Suarez
71′Jeremías Ezequiel LázaroJhon Córdoba
71′Leandro ParedesSantiago Ascacibar
71′Sebastián VillaÁngel Romero
76′Malcon Braida
79′Santiago Ascacibar
79′Alex Luna
80′Fernando Alarcon
85′Matías Gallardo
88′Alex LunaLucas Martín Sanseviero Pérez
88′Matías GallardoJuan Ignacio Méndez

Estadio Presidente Peron, AvellanedaReferee: Leandro Rey Hilfer

Instituto Cordoba 33%
Draw 31%
Boca Juniors 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
31 Possession % 69
4 Corners 2
15 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 2
169 Accurate passes 477

Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInstituto CordobaDrawBoca Juniors
Model37.5%28.4%34.1%
Market31.8%32.4%35.8%
Final33.2%31.4%35.4%
Edge+1.4%-1.0%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Boca Juniors

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Instituto Cord ↓ / Boca Juniors → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Instituto Cordoba and Boca Juniors expected goals

Instituto Cordoba 1.37
Boca Juniors 1.30

Total expected goals: 2.68

Instituto Cordoba and Boca Juniors attack and defence ratings

Instituto Cordoba

Attack 1.58 +58%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Boca Juniors

Attack 1.69 +69%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors: result vs prediction

Instituto Cordoba 2 – 2 Boca Juniors

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Boca Juniors 35.4% 2.83 -0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.6% 1.46 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.8% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Instituto Cordoba33.2%
Draw31.4%
Boca Juniors35.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.1%
Under 2.549.9%
Both teams to scoreYes55.6%
No44.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.6%
12 (either side)68.6%
X2 (draw or away)66.8%
Handicap -1Boca Juniors win15.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss65.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
2-18.5%
1-08.2%

Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors stats

Instituto Cordoba and Boca Juniors recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Instituto Cordoba and Boca Juniors going into this match

league record before kick-off

Instituto Cordoba record

  • They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Boca Juniors record

  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Instituto Cordoba wins 1Draws 1Boca Juniors wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22Boca JuniorsInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2024-07-28Instituto CordobaBoca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2023-03-19Boca JuniorsInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.8%, draw 32.4%, away 35.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.95 2.94 2.68
Bet365 3.00 2.90 2.62
BetVictor 2.90 3.00 2.63
Betano 3.05 2.95 2.77
Betfair 3.00 2.88 2.60
Dafabet 2.95 2.90 2.60
Marathonbet 2.89 2.88 2.62
Pinnacle 3.03 2.96 2.74
SBO 2.80 2.85 2.48
William Hill 2.90 2.80 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.95 ▲ +0.15
X 2.90 —
2 2.62 ▼ -0.12

20 snapshots recorded, from .