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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba

1 – 4 Full time

13′Matías Tissera
16′Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro
21′Leonel Mosevich
22′Maximiliano Meza
29′Iván Marcone
40′Maximiliano Meza
40′Marcos Ledesma
44′Maximiliano Meza
45′Giuliano CeratoHernán De La Fuente
51′Hernán De La Fuente
62′Ramiro MartinoNahuel Banegas
62′Matías AbaldoLautaro Millán
65′Matías Gallardo
66′Matías TisseraFacundo Ezquel Suarez
73′Mateo Pérez CurciFelipe Tempone
80′Alex Luna
81′Jeremías Ezequiel LázaroLucas Martín Sanseviero Pérez
81′Gustavo AbregúJuan Ignacio Méndez
87′Matías GallardoJonas Acevedo
87′Iván MoralesChimy Ávila
88′Leonardo GodoySantiago Arias
90′Santiago Arias

Libertadores de America, Buenos AiresReferee: Hernan Mastrangelo

Independiente 36%
Draw 31%
Instituto Cordoba 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
47 Possession % 53
3 Corners 7
13 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 4
2 Saves 1
224 Accurate passes 268

Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIndependienteDrawInstituto Cordoba
Model26.6%30.7%42.7%
Market39.0%31.2%29.9%
Final35.9%31.0%33.1%
Edge-12.3%-0.5%+12.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Independiente ↓ / Instituto Cord → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 12% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Independiente and Instituto Cordoba expected goals

Independiente 0.97
Instituto Cordoba 1.30

Total expected goals: 2.27

Independiente and Instituto Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Independiente

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Instituto Cordoba

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba: result vs prediction

Independiente 1 – 4 Instituto Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Independiente 35.9% 2.79 -12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.0% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.4% 1.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Independiente35.9%
Draw31.0%
Instituto Cordoba33.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.7%
Under 2.560.3%
Both teams to scoreYes46.6%
No53.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.9%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)64.1%
Handicap -1Independiente win10.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss73.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-112.1%
0-011.6%

Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba stats

Independiente and Instituto Cordoba recent form

newest first
Independiente WDWLDW
Instituto Cordoba WWLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Independiente and Instituto Cordoba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Independiente record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Instituto Cordoba record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Independiente wins 3Draws 2Instituto Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-17Instituto CordobaIndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2025-08-30Instituto CordobaIndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2025-02-22IndependienteInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2024-07-19Instituto CordobaIndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina3-1
2024-02-18Instituto CordobaIndependienteCopa de la Liga Profesional0-2
2023-09-24IndependienteInstituto CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional0-0
2023-03-05IndependienteInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina2-2
2014-06-01Instituto CordobaIndependientePrimera Nacional1-2
2013-12-02IndependienteInstituto CordobaPrimera Nacional2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 31.2%, away 29.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.44 3.03 3.19
Bet365 2.45 2.88 3.25
BetVictor 2.45 3.00 3.13
Betano 2.35 3.00 3.45
Betfair 2.40 3.00 3.00
Marathonbet 2.39 2.97 3.12
Pinnacle 2.51 3.02 3.29
SBO 2.36 2.80 2.85
William Hill 2.38 2.90 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 —
X 3.00 ▲ +0.06
2 3.13 ▼ -0.06

34 snapshots recorded, from .