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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus

0 – 0 Full time

6′Lautaro GianettiBruno Cabrera
23′Lucas Agustín Besozzi
60′Facundo Samuel GuchAlan Soñora
60′Santiago Germán Solari FerreyraWalter Nunez
64′Franco Nahuel WatsonMarcelino Moreno
73′Ronaldo Dejesús López
76′Allan Steven Wlk DuréYoshan Valois
76′Lucas Agustín BesozziGonzalo German Perez Corbalan
76′Diego Agustín MedinaGonzalo Thomás Lobos
77′Yoshan Valois
87′Luca RegiardoJerónimo Gómez Mattar
90′Eduardo SalvioThiago laplace

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, RosarioReferee: Dario Herrera

Newells Old Boys 37%
Draw 32%
Lanus 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
47 Possession % 53
3 Corners 5
11 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
363 Accurate passes 345

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Newells Old Boys vs Lanus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNewells Old BoysDrawLanus
Model44.0%31.2%24.7%
Market34.1%32.1%33.7%
Final36.6%31.9%31.5%
Edge+9.9%-0.9%-9.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Newells Old Boys

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.89.
  • The market prices Newells Old Boys below the model: +9.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Newells Old Bo ↓ / Lanus → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 13% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Newells Old Boys and Lanus expected goals

Newells Old Boys 1.28
Lanus 0.89

Total expected goals: 2.17

Newells Old Boys and Lanus attack and defence ratings

Newells Old Boys

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Lanus

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus: result vs prediction

Newells Old Boys 0 – 0 Lanus

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Newells Old Boys 36.6% 2.73 +9.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.0% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 56.0% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.5% 1.46 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.9% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Newells Old Boys36.6%
Draw31.9%
Lanus31.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.0%
Under 2.563.0%
Both teams to scoreYes44.0%
No56.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.5%
12 (either side)68.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Newells Old Boys win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss55.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-013.2%
0-012.7%

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus stats

Newells Old Boys and Lanus recent form

newest first
Newells Old Boys WDDDWW
Lanus WWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Newells Old Boys and Lanus going into this match

league record before kick-off

Newells Old Boys record

  • They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Lanus record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Newells Old Boys wins 0Draws 2Lanus wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-17LanusNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina5-0
2024-10-05Newells Old BoysLanusLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2024-01-31LanusNewells Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional0-2
2023-08-26Newells Old BoysLanusCopa de la Liga Profesional1-0
2023-05-21LanusNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2022-08-17Newells Old BoysLanusLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2021-09-20LanusNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2021-04-13LanusNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina1-3
2020-12-07Newells Old BoysLanusLiga Profesional Argentina3-1
2020-11-14LanusNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina2-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 32.1%, away 33.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.79 2.92 2.84
Bet365 2.80 2.88 2.88
BetVictor 2.75 3.00 2.75
Betano 2.75 3.00 2.85
Betfair 2.70 3.00 2.70
Marathonbet 2.73 2.86 2.78
Pinnacle 2.87 2.97 2.88
SBO 2.54 2.80 2.62
William Hill 2.62 2.88 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 ▼ -0.15
X 2.92 ▲ +0.04
2 2.78 ▲ +0.16

34 snapshots recorded, from .