Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 12
Gimnasia M.
vs
Newells Old Boys
1 – 0 Full time
| 49′ | Luca Regiardo | ||
| 58′ | Agustín Módica | ||
| 60′ | Lucas Carrizo | ||
| 62′ | Luca RegiardoJerónimo Gómez Mattar | ||
| 63′ | Facundo Samuel GuchAlan Soñora | ||
| 63′ | Diego MondinoGermán Guiffrey | ||
| 63′ | Matías VargasNahuel Barboza | ||
| 65′ | Matías Emiliano Recalde | ||
| 71′ | Luciano César CingolaniMartín Úbeda | ||
| 71′ | Fermin AntoniniBlas Armoa Nunez | ||
| 77′ | Franco EscobarJuan Ignacio Ramírez | ||
| 81′ | Esteban FernándezLautaro Carrera | ||
| 89′ | Santiago Germán Solari FerreyraWalter Nunez | ||
| 89′ | Rodrigo HerreraFrancisco Scarpeccio | ||
| 90′ | Nahuel Barboza |
Gimnasia M.
39%
Draw
32%
Newells Old Boys
30%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 10 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 134 | Accurate passes | 251 |
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys
| Probability | Gimnasia M. | Draw | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.9% | 33.6% | 35.6% |
| Market | 41.1% | 31.3% | 27.6% |
| Final | 38.5% | 31.9% | 29.6% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +0.6% | +2.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
Gimnasia M. and Newells Old Boys expected goals
Gimnasia M.
0.95
Newells Old Boys
1.04
Total expected goals: 1.99
Gimnasia M. and Newells Old Boys attack and defence ratings
Gimnasia M.
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Newells Old Boys
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys: result vs prediction
Gimnasia M. 1 – 0 Newells Old Boys
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Sarmiento Junin — match page
- Gimnasia L.P. v Atletico Tucuman — match page
- Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors — team news & stats
- Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Huracan
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Tigre v Banfield — match page
- River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia M. | 38.5% | 2.59 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia M. | 38.5% |
| Draw | 31.9% | |
| Newells Old Boys | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.1% |
| No | 58.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia M. win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 69.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.8% |
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys stats
Gimnasia M. and Newells Old Boys recent form
| Gimnasia M. |
LDLDWW |
| Newells Old Boys |
DWDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gimnasia M. and Newells Old Boys going into this match
Gimnasia M. record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Newells Old Boys record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Gimnasia M. wins
0Draws
1Newells Old Boys wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Newells Old Boys | Gimnasia M. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 31.3%, away 27.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.04 | 3.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.05 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 2.95 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 2.98 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.05 | 3.57 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 2.80 | 3.04 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.28 ▲ +0.03
X
2.99 ▼ -0.01
2
3.40 ▼ -0.06
12 snapshots recorded, from .