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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia

0 – 2 Full time

8′Joaquin Mosqueira
43′Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
45′César Pérez
45′Jeremías Lucco
45′Joaquin MosqueiraBrahian Cuello
60′César PérezMaximiliano Porcel
66′Leandro Fernández
67′Lucas Ayala
68′Mauro Luna DialeJulián Palacios
68′Erik RamirezMarcelo Estigarriba
71′Julián Palacios
73′Jeremías LuccoAgustin Hausch
74′Leandro FernándezTiziano Perrotta
76′Santiago Sosa
78′Marcelo Estigarriba
79′David BarbonaEzequiel Burdín
79′Juan Manuel GutiérrezJulian Lopez
81′Lucas AyalaMisael Aguirre
85′Cristian Tarragona
88′Tobias Javier RubioBruno Pittón

Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera CruzReferee: Dario Herrera

Union Santa Fe 40%
Draw 28%
Defensa Y Justicia 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 10
59 Possession % 41
6 Corners 3
16 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 3
7 Saves 7
308 Accurate passes 341

Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUnion Santa FeDrawDefensa Y Justicia
Model34.5%23.9%41.6%
Market42.3%29.7%27.9%
Final40.4%28.3%31.4%
Edge-2.0%-1.5%+3.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Union Santa Fe ↓ / Defensa Y Just → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 10% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Union Santa Fe and Defensa Y Justicia expected goals

Union Santa Fe 1.68
Defensa Y Justicia 1.86

Total expected goals: 3.54

Union Santa Fe and Defensa Y Justicia attack and defence ratings

Union Santa Fe

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.56 +56%

Defensa Y Justicia

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia: result vs prediction

Union Santa Fe 0 – 2 Defensa Y Justicia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Union Santa Fe 40.4% 2.48 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.6% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.6% 1.44 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Union Santa Fe40.4%
Draw28.3%
Defensa Y Justicia31.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.6%
Under 2.531.4%
Both teams to scoreYes69.6%
No30.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.6%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)59.6%
Handicap -1Union Santa Fe win17.6%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
1-28.4%
2-17.6%

Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia stats

Union Santa Fe and Defensa Y Justicia recent form

newest first
Union Santa Fe LLLWWW
Defensa Y Justicia WDWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Union Santa Fe and Defensa Y Justicia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Union Santa Fe record

  • They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Defensa Y Justicia record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Union Santa Fe wins 3Draws 5Defensa Y Justicia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Defensa Y JusticiaUnion Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2025-10-21Union Santa FeDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina3-0
2025-04-14Defensa Y JusticiaUnion Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2024-12-15Defensa Y JusticiaUnion Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2024-03-10Defensa Y JusticiaUnion Santa FeCopa de la Liga Profesional2-1
2023-10-24Union Santa FeDefensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional0-0
2023-07-28Union Santa FeDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2022-10-14Defensa Y JusticiaUnion Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2022-05-02Union Santa FeDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2021-11-18Union Santa FeDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 29.7%, away 27.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.21 3.19 3.49
Bet365 2.30 3.10 3.40
BetVictor 2.25 3.25 3.25
Betano 2.25 3.15 3.45
Betfair 2.20 3.25 3.25
Dafabet 2.21 3.15 3.30
Marathonbet 2.16 3.12 3.42
Pinnacle 2.27 3.25 3.45
SBO 2.18 3.07 3.06
William Hill 2.20 3.00 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.21 ▼ -0.02
X 3.15 ▲ +0.07
2 3.35 ▲ +0.03

28 snapshots recorded, from .