Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 12
River Plate
vs
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1 – 0 Full time
| 2′ | Fernando Rodríguez | ||
| 6′ | Marcos Acuña | ||
| 16′ | Alejandro Martín Cabrera | ||
| 45′ | Ibrahim HesarYeison Daniel Moreno Murillo | ||
| 45′ | Fernando RodríguezMatias Valenti | ||
| 45′ | Mauro ValienteMartín Garnerone | ||
| 68′ | Lautaro PereyraThiago Almada | ||
| 71′ | Sebastián DriussiRafael Borré | ||
| 80′ | Tomás GonzálezSiro Rosané | ||
| 80′ | Juan AntoniniMateo Bajamich | ||
| 89′ | Tomás Ezequiel GalvánFacundo González | ||
| 89′ | Marcos AcuñaJuan Cruz Meza |
River Plate
78%
Draw
16%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
6%
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 1 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 73 | Possession % | 27 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 7 |
| 556 | Accurate passes | 139 |
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
| Probability | River Plate | Draw | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.4% | 20.9% | 10.7% |
| Market | 80.6% | 14.7% | 4.7% |
| Final | 77.5% | 16.3% | 6.2% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
Why River Plate
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected goals
River Plate
2.09
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0.72
Total expected goals: 2.81
River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto attack and defence ratings
River Plate
Attack
1.33 +33%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
1.37 +37%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: result vs prediction
River Plate 1 – 0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Sarmiento Junin — match page
- Gimnasia L.P. v Atletico Tucuman — match page
- Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors — team news & stats
- Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Huracan
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Tigre v Banfield — match page
- San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
Before and after this match
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | River Plate | 77.5% | 1.29 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | River Plate win | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | River Plate | 77.5% |
| Draw | 16.3% | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 6.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | River Plate win | 44.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 31.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.9% |
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto stats
River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto recent form
| River Plate |
LWWWDD |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto |
LLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto going into this match
River Plate record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto record
- They have won 2 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 27 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
1River Plate wins
0Draws
0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 80.6%, draw 14.7%, away 4.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 6.77 | 22.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 6.25 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.15 | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| Betano | 1.20 | 6.50 | 26.00 |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 6.50 | 18.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.18 | 6.40 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 6.40 | 21.00 |
| SBO | 1.17 | 5.80 | 13.48 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 6.00 | 19.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.17 ▼ -0.03
X
6.40 ▲ +0.65
2
20.00 ▲ +3.00
12 snapshots recorded, from .