River Plate
vs
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Garuda Lions Prediction: River Plate
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
| Probability | River Plate | Draw | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.6% | 20.8% | 10.6% |
| Market | 81.2% | 14.4% | 4.4% |
| Final | 78.0% | 16.0% | 6.0% |
| Edge | -12.6% | +6.4% | +6.2% |
Why River Plate
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto match preview
River Plate enters the match against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto with a strong probability of winning at 76%, while Estudiantes has only a 7% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0 in favor of River Plate, with an expected goals tally of 2.11 for River Plate compared to 0.72 for Estudiantes. Recent form indicates River Plate has recorded one loss and four positive results in their last six matches, whereas Estudiantes has struggled with four consecutive losses and two draws.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 54%, and there is a 46% chance that both teams will score. In their last encounter, River Plate secured a win against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, continuing their dominance in this matchup with one win and no draws in their head-to-head history.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto attack and defence ratings
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Huracan
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Tigre v Banfield — match page
- San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
- Rosario Central v Independ. Rivadavia — match page
- Platense vs Argentinos JRS
- Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba
Before and after this match
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | River Plate | 78.0% | 1.28 | -12.6% | 1.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | River Plate win | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | River Plate | 78.0% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 6.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | River Plate win | 44.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 31.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.2% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.9% |
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto stats
River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto recent form
| River Plate |
LWWWDD |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto |
LLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto season so far
River Plate record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto record
- They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 26 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.2%, draw 14.4%, away 4.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 6.79 | 23.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 6.50 | 23.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 7.50 | 22.00 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 6.70 | 20.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 6.50 | 19.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.15 | 6.80 | 19.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 6.45 | 22.00 |
| SBO | 1.14 | 5.61 | 12.04 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 6.50 | 21.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .