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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman

1 – 1 Full time

9′Ignacio Fernández
16′Clever Domingo Ferreira Ñamandu
45′Iván TesuriGabriel Compagnucci
60′Rodrigo Agustín Colazo
60′Luis Ingolotti
61′Nicolás LaméndolaEzequiel Ham
61′Ignacio GalvanJuan Infante
65′Maximiliano ZalazarFranco Ramón Torres
65′Bautista Barros SchelottoAlexis Steimbach
70′Julián Fernández
73′Lucas JansonJuan Pérez
73′Rodrigo Agustín ColazoMarcelo Torres
81′Franco Nicola
83′Lautaro Godoy
88′Matías MellusoMariano Ojeda
90′Ramiro Ruiz RodriguezPedro Alexis Canelo
90′Franco NicolaMaximiliano Villa
90′Marcelo Torres

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La PlataReferee: Pablo Dovalo

Gimnasia L.P. 47%
Draw 29%
Atletico Tucuman 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
61 Possession % 39
10 Corners 4
8 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 5
1 Saves 5
330 Accurate passes 172

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimnasia L.P.DrawAtletico Tucuman
Model40.2%28.7%31.2%
Market49.2%28.8%22.0%
Final47.0%28.8%24.3%
Edge-2.3%-0.0%+2.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Gimnasia L.P.

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimnasia L.P. ↓ / Atletico Tucum → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Gimnasia L.P. and Atletico Tucuman expected goals

Gimnasia L.P. 1.40
Atletico Tucuman 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.61

Gimnasia L.P. and Atletico Tucuman attack and defence ratings

Gimnasia L.P.

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Atletico Tucuman

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman: result vs prediction

Gimnasia L.P. 1 – 1 Atletico Tucuman

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gimnasia L.P. 47.0% 2.13 -2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.2% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimnasia L.P.47.0%
Draw28.8%
Atletico Tucuman24.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.5%
Under 2.551.5%
Both teams to scoreYes54.2%
No45.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.7%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)53.0%
Handicap -1Gimnasia L.P. win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-09.0%
2-18.7%

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman stats

Gimnasia L.P. and Atletico Tucuman recent form

newest first
Gimnasia L.P. DDDWWL
Atletico Tucuman LLDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimnasia L.P. and Atletico Tucuman going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimnasia L.P. record

  • They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Tucuman record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Gimnasia L.P. wins 0Draws 5Atletico Tucuman wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-0
2025-09-01Gimnasia L.P.Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2025-02-24Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-1
2024-11-24Gimnasia L.P.Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2024-05-23Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.Copa Argentina1-2
2024-04-07Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional3-2
2023-11-11Gimnasia L.P.Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional1-2
2023-07-12Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina2-0
2022-07-10Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina2-0
2022-04-08Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 28.8%, away 22.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.91 3.34 4.34
Bet365 1.91 3.25 4.50
BetVictor 1.90 3.30 4.33
Betano 1.95 3.30 4.30
Betfair 1.90 3.25 4.20
Dafabet 1.94 3.25 4.10
Marathonbet 1.87 3.28 4.25
Pinnacle 1.94 3.41 4.41
SBO 1.90 3.09 3.86
William Hill 1.91 3.10 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▼ -0.30
X 3.26 ▲ +0.25
2 4.28 ▲ +0.84

20 snapshots recorded, from .