Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 13
Huracan
vs
Gimnasia L.P.
1 – 2 Full time
Huracan
38%
Draw
32%
Gimnasia L.P.
31%
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.
| Probability | Huracan | Draw | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.6% | 30.0% | 27.3% |
| Market | 36.2% | 32.0% | 31.8% |
| Final | 37.8% | 31.5% | 30.7% |
| Edge | +6.5% | -2.0% | -4.5% |
Why Huracan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Huracan below the model: +6.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. expected goals
Huracan
1.34
Gimnasia L.P.
1.03
Total expected goals: 2.37
Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. attack and defence ratings
Huracan
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Gimnasia L.P.
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.: result vs prediction
Huracan 1 – 2 Gimnasia L.P.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Defensa Y Justicia v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba — team news & stats
- Banfield vs Argentinos JRS
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre — team news & stats
- Platense vs Lanus — team news & stats
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. — team news & stats
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central
- Racing Club v Independiente — match page
Before and after this match
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huracan | 37.8% | 2.65 | +6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huracan | 37.8% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Gimnasia L.P. | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.7% |
| No | 51.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Huracan win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. stats
Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. recent form
| Huracan |
LWWWDD |
| Gimnasia L.P. |
DDDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. going into this match
Huracan record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia L.P. record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Huracan wins
4Draws
3Gimnasia L.P. wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Gimnasia L.P. | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-3 |
| 2024-11-01 | Huracan | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-13 | Gimnasia L.P. | Huracan | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 3-1 |
| 2023-09-20 | Huracan | Gimnasia L.P. | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-13 | Gimnasia L.P. | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-30 | Huracan | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2021-08-28 | Gimnasia L.P. | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2021-03-30 | Huracan | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2020-12-05 | Gimnasia L.P. | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2020-11-15 | Huracan | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 32.0%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 2.94 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 2.95 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 2.95 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 2.88 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75 | 2.89 | 3.09 |
| SBO | 2.46 | 2.92 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.59 ▲ +0.21
X
2.93 ▼ -0.07
2
2.95 ▼ -0.25
13 snapshots recorded, from .