Independ. Rivadavia
vs
Tigre
Garuda Lions Prediction: Independ. Rivadavia
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre
| Probability | Independ. Rivadavia | Draw | Tigre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.8% | 26.0% | 25.1% |
| Market | 48.4% | 29.5% | 22.2% |
| Final | 48.5% | 28.6% | 22.9% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -3.4% | +3.0% |
Why Independ. Rivadavia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre match preview
Independ. Rivadavia is positioned with a 50% probability of winning against Tigre, who has a 22% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Independ. Rivadavia, with an expected goals tally of 1.72 compared to Tigre's 1.18. Additionally, there is a 55% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a 58% probability.
Recent form shows Independ. Rivadavia with a mixed record of L-D-W-D-W-L, while Tigre has struggled significantly, recording five consecutive losses followed by a draw. In their last five encounters, Independ. Rivadavia has won three times, drawn once, and Tigre has managed just one victory. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre attack and defence ratings
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Defensa Y Justicia v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba — team news & stats
- Banfield vs Argentinos JRS
- Platense vs Lanus — team news & stats
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. — team news & stats
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central
- Racing Club v Independiente — match page
- Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo — match page
Before and after this match
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independ. Rivadavia | 48.5% | 2.06 | +0.5% | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independ. Rivadavia | 48.5% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Tigre | 22.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Independ. Rivadavia win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre stats
Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre recent form
| Independ. Rivadavia |
LDWDWL |
| Tigre |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre season so far
Independ. Rivadavia record
- They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tigre record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Independ. Rivadavia | Tigre | Copa Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Tigre | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-06 | Tigre | Independ. Rivadavia | Copa Argentina | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-22 | Tigre | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Independ. Rivadavia | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.4%, draw 29.5%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.20 | 4.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.15 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.15 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.14 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.25 | 4.34 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 2.83 | 3.56 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .