Argentinos JRS
vs
Independ. Rivadavia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Argentinos JRS
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.89.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia
| Probability | Argentinos JRS | Draw | Independ. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.4% | 24.2% | 16.4% |
| Market | 44.3% | 29.7% | 25.9% |
| Final | 48.1% | 28.3% | 23.5% |
| Edge | +3.8% | -1.4% | -2.4% |
Why Argentinos JRS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.89.
- The market prices Argentinos JRS below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.9% per unit staked (our 48.1% × 2.18 − 1).
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia match preview
Argentinos JRS faces Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina on October 27, 2026. According to our model, Argentinos JRS holds a 50% probability of winning, while the chances of a draw stand at 28% and Independ. Rivadavia at 22%. The expected goals for Argentinos JRS are 1.87, compared to 0.89 for Independ. Rivadavia, suggesting a potential scoreline of 2-0, which has an 11% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Argentinos JRS has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, while Independ. Rivadavia has two wins and three draws in the same period. Historically, in their last four encounters, Argentinos JRS has not secured a win, with two draws and two losses against Independ. Rivadavia. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Argentinos JRS and Independ. Rivadavia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Argentinos JRS and Independ. Rivadavia attack and defence ratings
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
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- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page
- River Plate vs Racing Club — team news & stats
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield — match page
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Instituto Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra
Before and after this match
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Argentinos JRS | 48.1% | 2.08 | +3.8% | 2.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Argentinos JRS | 48.1% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 23.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Argentinos JRS win | 35.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-0 | 11.0% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia stats
Argentinos JRS and Independ. Rivadavia recent form
| Argentinos JRS |
WDWLDD |
| Independ. Rivadavia |
DLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Argentinos JRS and Independ. Rivadavia season so far
Argentinos JRS record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Independ. Rivadavia record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Independ. Rivadavia | Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Independ. Rivadavia | Argentinos JRS | Copa Argentina | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Independ. Rivadavia | Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-24 | Argentinos JRS | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 29.7%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.16 | 3.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.13 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.15 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.18 | 3.62 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 2.93 | 3.14 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .