Talleres Cordoba
vs
Defensa Y Justicia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Talleres Cordoba
1 – 0 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Talleres Cordoba is the favourite, not a value bet.
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
| Probability | Talleres Cordoba | Draw | Defensa Y Justicia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.4% | 28.1% | 51.5% |
| Market | 42.4% | 29.2% | 28.4% |
| Final | 36.9% | 28.9% | 34.2% |
| Edge | -5.5% | -0.3% | +5.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.3% per unit staked (our 36.9% × 2.27 − 1).
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia match preview
Talleres Cordoba faces Defensa Y Justicia in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Talleres Cordoba has a 38% probability of winning, while Defensa Y Justicia stands at 33%, and a draw is estimated at 29%. The expected goals for Talleres Cordoba is 0.88, compared to 1.53 for Defensa Y Justicia, indicating a potential challenge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Talleres Cordoba has recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Defensa Y Justicia has achieved three wins in the same timeframe. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, which has a 7% probability. Additionally, there is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams have a 47% likelihood of scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Talleres Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Talleres Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia attack and defence ratings
Talleres Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Talleres Cordoba | 36.9% | 2.71 | -5.5% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Talleres Cordoba | 36.9% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Defensa Y Justicia | 34.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Talleres Cordoba win | 7.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.3% | |
| Loss | 79.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-1 | 12.5% | |
| 0-2 | 10.5% |
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia stats
Talleres Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia recent form
| Talleres Cordoba |
LDLLWL |
| Defensa Y Justicia |
LWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Talleres Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia season so far
Talleres Cordoba record
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 29 matches.
Defensa Y Justicia record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Defensa Y Justicia | Talleres Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 29.2%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.29 | 3.31 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.22 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.27 | 3.29 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 2.91 | 2.89 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .