Rosario Central
vs
Huracan
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rosario Central
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.70.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Rosario Central is the favourite, not a value bet.
Rosario Central vs Huracan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rosario Central vs Huracan
| Probability | Rosario Central | Draw | Huracan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.9% | 25.4% | 13.7% |
| Market | 54.0% | 28.3% | 17.6% |
| Final | 55.8% | 27.6% | 16.6% |
| Edge | +1.7% | -0.7% | -1.0% |
Why Rosario Central
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.76, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.9% per unit staked (our 55.8% × 1.76 − 1).
Rosario Central vs Huracan match preview
Rosario Central enters the match against Huracan with a strong probability of winning at 61%, while Huracan has a lower chance at 14%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring at a rate of 14%. Expected goals indicate Rosario Central at 1.73 and Huracan at 0.70, suggesting a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Rosario Central has recorded a sequence of W-W-D-W-W-D, while Huracan's form shows L-L-W-W-W-D. Historically, Huracan has had the upper hand in their last two encounters, winning both matches against Rosario Central. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rosario Central and Huracan expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Rosario Central and Huracan attack and defence ratings
Rosario Central
Huracan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Banfield vs Lanus — team news & stats
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — match page
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba — team news & stats
- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page
- River Plate vs Racing Club — team news & stats
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield — match page
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Before and after this match
Rosario Central vs Huracan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosario Central | 55.8% | 1.79 | +1.7% | 1.76 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosario Central | 55.8% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Huracan | 16.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosario Central win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 39.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.3% |
| 2-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
Rosario Central vs Huracan stats
Rosario Central and Huracan recent form
| Rosario Central |
WWDWWD |
| Huracan |
LLWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rosario Central and Huracan season so far
Rosario Central record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Huracan record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rosario Central vs Huracan head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Huracan | Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Rosario Central | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rosario Central vs Huracan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 28.3%, away 17.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.35 | 5.41 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.40 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.28 | 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.41 | 5.54 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.09 | 4.46 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .