Atletico Tucuman
vs
Rosario Central
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rosario Central
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central
| Probability | Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 32.4% | 37.8% |
| Market | 29.2% | 31.6% | 39.2% |
| Final | 29.3% | 31.8% | 38.9% |
| Edge | +0.6% | +0.8% | -1.4% |
Why Rosario Central
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.46, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central match preview
Atletico Tucuman faces Rosario Central in their upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina match. According to our model, Atletico Tucuman has a 29% chance of winning, while Rosario Central stands at 39%, with a 32% probability of a draw. The expected goals for Atletico Tucuman is 0.98, compared to Rosario Central's 1.14, suggesting a slight edge for the visitors.
Recent form shows Atletico Tucuman with a record of D-L-L-D-L-W, while Rosario Central has performed better with W-D-W-W-D-L. In their last three encounters, Atletico Tucuman has not secured a victory, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses against Rosario Central. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Tucuman and Rosario Central expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Atletico Tucuman and Rosario Central attack and defence ratings
Atletico Tucuman
Rosario Central
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Racing Club v Independiente — match page
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Before and after this match
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosario Central | 38.9% | 2.57 | -1.4% | 2.46 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Tucuman | 29.3% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Rosario Central | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.7% |
| No | 56.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosario Central win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 62.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.4% | |
| 0-1 | 12.4% |
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central stats
Atletico Tucuman and Rosario Central recent form
| Atletico Tucuman |
DLLDLW |
| Rosario Central |
WDWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Tucuman and Rosario Central season so far
Atletico Tucuman record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rosario Central record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Rosario Central | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Atletico Tucuman | Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-08 | Rosario Central | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.2%, draw 31.6%, away 39.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.32 | 2.97 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 2.87 | 2.45 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 2.95 | 2.34 |
| Marathonbet | 3.25 | 2.91 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27 | 2.97 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.98 | 2.78 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .