Platense
vs
Lanus
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lanus
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Platense vs Lanus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Lanus
| Probability | Platense | Draw | Lanus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 33.0% | 38.3% |
| Market | 33.7% | 33.0% | 33.3% |
| Final | 32.5% | 33.0% | 34.5% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +0.0% | +5.0% |
Why Lanus
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lanus below the model: +5.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.88, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Platense vs Lanus match preview
Platense faces Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina with a predicted outcome leaning slightly towards Lanus. According to our model, Platense has a 31% chance of winning, while Lanus stands at 36%, and the draw is at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Lanus, with an expected goals tally of 0.87 for Platense and 1.17 for Lanus.
Recent form shows Platense struggling with two draws and three losses in their last five matches, while Lanus has been more consistent, recording four wins and a loss in the same period. In their last three encounters, Platense has not secured a win against Lanus, with two draws and one victory for Lanus. Both teams have a 41% chance of scoring, and there is a 33% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Platense and Lanus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.04
Platense and Lanus attack and defence ratings
Platense
Lanus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
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- Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba — team news & stats
- Banfield vs Argentinos JRS
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre — team news & stats
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. — team news & stats
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central
- Racing Club v Independiente — match page
- Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo — match page
Before and after this match
Platense vs Lanus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lanus | 34.5% | 2.90 | +5.0% | 2.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 32.5% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| Lanus | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.8% |
| No | 58.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lanus win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 0-1 | 13.2% |
Platense vs Lanus stats
Platense and Lanus recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Platense and Lanus season so far
Platense record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
Lanus record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Platense vs Lanus head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Lanus | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Lanus | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Platense | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Platense vs Lanus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 33.0%, away 33.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.85 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 2.80 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 2.92 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 2.84 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77 | 2.98 | 2.84 |
| SBO | 2.56 | 2.65 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .