Platense
vs
Argentinos JRS
Garuda Lions Prediction: Argentinos JRS
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Platense vs Argentinos JRS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Argentinos JRS
| Probability | Platense | Draw | Argentinos JRS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.0% | 32.3% | 40.8% |
| Market | 30.8% | 32.4% | 36.8% |
| Final | 29.8% | 32.4% | 37.8% |
| Edge | -3.8% | -0.1% | +3.9% |
Why Argentinos JRS
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Argentinos JRS below the model: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Platense vs Argentinos JRS match preview
In the upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina match, Platense faces Argentinos JRS with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 26% probability of a Platense victory, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 42% likelihood that Argentinos JRS will win. The expected goals for Platense stand at 0.80, while Argentinos JRS is projected at 1.13, suggesting a competitive edge for the visitors.
Recent form shows Platense struggling with one win in their last six matches, while Argentinos JRS has been more consistent, with two wins and three draws in their last six outings. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Platense has yet to secure a win, recording two losses and one draw against Argentinos JRS. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 15% probability.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Platense and Argentinos JRS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
Platense and Argentinos JRS attack and defence ratings
Platense
Argentinos JRS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Tigre v Banfield — match page
- River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
- Rosario Central v Independ. Rivadavia — match page
- Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba
- Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente — team news & stats
- Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield
Before and after this match
Platense vs Argentinos JRS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Argentinos JRS | 37.8% | 2.64 | +3.9% | 2.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 29.8% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| Argentinos JRS | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.9% |
| No | 57.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Argentinos JRS win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.6% | |
| 0-1 | 13.2% |
Platense vs Argentinos JRS stats
Platense and Argentinos JRS recent form
| Platense |
DWLLLL |
| Argentinos JRS |
WLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Platense and Argentinos JRS season so far
Platense record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 26 matches.
Argentinos JRS record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Platense vs Argentinos JRS head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Argentinos JRS | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Platense | Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-04 | Argentinos JRS | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Platense vs Argentinos JRS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.8%, draw 32.4%, away 36.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.06 | 2.95 | 2.58 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 2.90 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 2.90 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.99 | 2.89 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09 | 2.98 | 2.56 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 2.72 | 2.36 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .