Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 11
Velez Sarsfield
vs
Platense
2 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Ronaldo Martinez | ||
| 7′ | Bautista Merlini | ||
| 9′ | Manuel LanziniDiego Valdés | ||
| 14′ | Juan Cruz PolicellaSimón Escobar | ||
| 54′ | Ronaldo Martinez | ||
| 65′ | Maximiliano AmarfilIvan Gómez | ||
| 65′ | Bautista MerliniFranco Zapiola Yamartino | ||
| 65′ | Guido MaineroGastón Togni | ||
| 70′ | Thiago AguirreLuca Feler | ||
| 71′ | Bruno Christian SepulvedaGonzalo Lencina | ||
| 79′ | Tomás Silva | ||
| 84′ | Ivan Gómez | ||
| 88′ | Franco Zapiola Yamartino | ||
| 89′ | Kevin RetamarJuan Carlos Gauto |
Velez Sarsfield
52%
Draw
29%
Platense
18%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 319 | Accurate passes | 365 |
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Velez Sarsfield vs Platense
| Probability | Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.2% | 26.6% | 13.2% |
| Market | 49.7% | 30.1% | 20.1% |
| Final | 52.3% | 29.3% | 18.4% |
| Edge | +10.5% | -3.5% | -6.9% |
Why Velez Sarsfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Velez Sarsfield below the model: +10.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Velez Sarsfield and Platense expected goals
Velez Sarsfield
1.61
Platense
0.63
Total expected goals: 2.24
Velez Sarsfield and Platense attack and defence ratings
Velez Sarsfield
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Platense
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.13 +13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense: result vs prediction
Velez Sarsfield 2 – 2 Platense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 11 fixtures
- Independiente v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.
- Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central — team news & stats
- Newells Old Boys v Lanus — match page
- Huracan vs Aldosivi
- Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba
Before and after this match
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velez Sarsfield | 52.3% | 1.91 | +10.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velez Sarsfield | 52.3% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Platense | 18.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.5% |
| No | 61.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Velez Sarsfield win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 39.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.0% |
| 2-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense stats
Velez Sarsfield and Platense recent form
| Velez Sarsfield |
WDWDDD |
| Platense |
WLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Velez Sarsfield and Platense going into this match
Velez Sarsfield record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Platense record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 26 matches.
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2Velez Sarsfield wins
2Draws
3Platense wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Platense | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Platense | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-29 | Velez Sarsfield | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-25 | Platense | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-2 |
| 2023-03-14 | Velez Sarsfield | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2022-06-12 | Velez Sarsfield | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2021-12-10 | Platense | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 30.1%, away 20.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.14 | 4.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.00 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.13 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.20 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 3.08 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.31 | 4.96 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 2.83 | 4.15 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.88 ▲ +0.01
X
3.10 —
2
4.64 ▼ -0.16
20 snapshots recorded, from .