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Copa Argentina · Full time ·Quarter-finals

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.

1 – 0 Full time

23′Perez Fabricio
26′P. Ferreira
33′B. Sepulveda
46′Perez FabricioB. Kociubinski
57′A. Lagos
59′J. SosaE. Cetre
62′P. FerreiraM. Amarfil
62′L. Piovi
65′G. Mainero
68′B. Merlini
72′K. RetamarJ. Gauto
72′B. MerliniF. Zapiola
75′J. BurgosE. Meza
75′B. RodriguezB. Aguirre
81′M. BarriosI. Gomez
82′B. SepulvedaG. Lencina
83′G. Lencina
86′E. MancusoL. Alario

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. CostaReferee: Facundo Tello

Platense 25%
Draw 33%
Estudiantes L.P. 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlatenseDrawEstudiantes L.P.
Model30.5%35.0%34.5%
Market23.2%32.9%43.9%
Final25.0%33.4%41.6%
Edge+7.3%+2.1%-9.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Estudiantes L.P.

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Platense ↓ / Estudiantes L. → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 14% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Platense and Estudiantes L.P. expected goals

Platense 0.89
Estudiantes L.P. 0.96

Total expected goals: 1.85

Platense and Estudiantes L.P. attack and defence ratings

Platense

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Estudiantes L.P.

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.: result vs prediction

Platense 1 – 0 Estudiantes L.P.

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Quarter-finals fixtures

Copa Argentina

Before and after this match

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Estudiantes L.P. 41.6% 2.41 -9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.7% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 62.3% 1.61 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.5% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Platense25.0%
Draw33.4%
Estudiantes L.P.41.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.3%
Under 2.571.7%
Both teams to scoreYes37.7%
No62.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.4%
12 (either side)66.6%
X2 (draw or away)75.0%
Handicap -1Estudiantes L.P. win13.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss65.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.1%
1-114.8%
0-113.8%

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. stats

Platense and Estudiantes L.P. recent form

newest first
Platense LLLLDL
Estudiantes L.P. LWWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Platense wins 3Draws 5Estudiantes L.P. wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-12Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2026-05-03PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-2
2025-12-20Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseTrofeo de Campeones de la Superliga2-1
2024-09-15Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-03-06Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseCopa de la Liga Profesional1-2
2023-10-18PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional2-1
2023-04-27PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-2
2022-09-04PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-0
2021-09-25Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2021-05-03Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.5%, draw 32.5%, away 44.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.90 3.15 2.00
1xBet 4.51 2.75 2.11
Bet365 4.00 3.10 2.10
BetVictor 3.50 2.88 2.15
Betano 4.55 2.90 2.07
Betfair 3.70 2.88 2.20
Marathonbet 4.40 2.68 2.06
Pinnacle 4.37 2.63 2.17
SBO 3.48 2.82 1.97
William Hill 3.90 2.70 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.00 ▲ +0.16
X 2.82 ▼ -0.22
2 2.11 ▲ +0.03

54 snapshots recorded, from .