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Copa Argentina · Full time ·Quarter-finals

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors

2 – 3 Full time

12′T. Conechny
19′G. A. Lodico
47′Adrian Martinez
56′A. VelascoE. Valencia
56′S. AscacibarS. Villa
67′G. A. LodicoA. Fernandez
67′M. ZarachoE. Cannavo
68′M. Zaracho
70′L. FloresCarlos Palacios
72′E. Valencia
78′U. OrtegozaM. Kranevitter
78′T. ConechnyA. Campo
80′E. Valencia
90′F. HerreraM. Pellegrino
90′L. PerezM. Miljevic
90′E. Valencia
90′E. Valencia

Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, RosarioReferee: C. Gariano

Racing Club 24%
Draw 30%
Boca Juniors 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Club vs Boca Juniors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRacing ClubDrawBoca Juniors
Model32.9%30.5%36.6%
Market21.2%29.8%49.0%
Final24.1%30.0%45.9%
Edge+11.7%+0.7%-12.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Boca Juniors

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Racing Club ↓ / Boca Juniors → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Racing Club and Boca Juniors expected goals

Racing Club 1.15
Boca Juniors 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.37

Racing Club and Boca Juniors attack and defence ratings

Racing Club

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Boca Juniors

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors: result vs prediction

Racing Club 2 – 3 Boca Juniors

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Quarter-finals fixtures

Copa Argentina

Before and after this match

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Boca Juniors 45.9% 2.18 -12.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.4% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Racing Club24.1%
Draw30.0%
Boca Juniors45.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.2%
Under 2.557.8%
Both teams to scoreYes49.4%
No50.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.1%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)75.9%
Handicap -1Boca Juniors win16.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss63.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.7%
0-110.1%

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors stats

Racing Club and Boca Juniors recent form

newest first
Racing Club WLLLDW
Boca Juniors WDWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Racing Club wins 5Draws 1Boca Juniors wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-24Racing ClubBoca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2026-02-20Boca JuniorsRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2025-12-07Boca JuniorsRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2025-08-09Boca JuniorsRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2025-02-09Racing ClubBoca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2024-09-14Racing ClubBoca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2024-03-11Boca JuniorsRacing ClubCopa de la Liga Profesional4-2
2023-10-24Racing ClubBoca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional2-1
2023-08-31Racing ClubBoca JuniorsCONMEBOL Libertadores0-0
2023-08-24Boca JuniorsRacing ClubCONMEBOL Libertadores0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.2%, draw 29.7%, away 49.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.50 3.25 2.10
1xBet 4.51 3.18 1.92
Bet365 4.50 3.10 1.90
BetVictor 4.33 3.13 1.83
Betano 4.40 3.15 1.98
Betfair 4.20 3.25 1.90
Marathonbet 4.40 3.10 1.87
Pinnacle 4.44 3.16 1.86
SBO 3.86 3.01 1.86
William Hill 4.40 2.90 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.40 ▲ +0.96
X 3.13 ▼ -0.11
2 1.90 ▼ -0.23

46 snapshots recorded, from .