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Copa Argentina · Full time ·Quarter-finals

Deportivo Riestra vs Banfield

1 – 1 Full time

45′A. Stringa
50′T. Adoryan
55′I. GariglioC. Quintana
57′S. Esquivel
60′S. EsquivelL. Villegas
70′G. ObredorN. Benegas
70′A. AlonsoT. Gonzalez
70′A. StringaM. Bracamonte
76′A. DiazM. Celiz
77′A. BalboaF. Anselmo
77′L. GomezF. Alvarez
90′T. Adoryan

Estadio Alfredo Beranger, TurderaReferee: M. Ramirez

Deportivo Riestra 46%
Draw 31%
Banfield 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo Riestra vs Banfield overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Riestra vs Banfield

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo RiestraDrawBanfield
Model57.9%26.7%15.5%
Market41.6%33.0%25.4%
Final45.7%31.4%22.9%
Edge+16.3%-6.4%-9.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Riestra

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.74.
  • The market prices Deportivo Riestra below the model: +16.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Ries ↓ / Banfield → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 14% 12% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 10%

Deportivo Riestra and Banfield expected goals

Deportivo Riestra 1.64
Banfield 0.74

Total expected goals: 2.37

Deportivo Riestra and Banfield attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Riestra

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Banfield

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Riestra vs Banfield: result vs prediction

Deportivo Riestra 1 – 1 Banfield

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Quarter-finals fixtures

Copa Argentina

Before and after this match

Deportivo Riestra vs Banfield markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Riestra 45.7% 2.19 +16.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 56.9% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.1% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.1% 2.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Riestra45.7%
Draw31.4%
Banfield22.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.3%
Under 2.557.7%
Both teams to scoreYes43.1%
No56.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.1%
12 (either side)68.6%
X2 (draw or away)54.3%
Handicap -1Deportivo Riestra win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss42.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.1%
2-012.5%
1-112.3%

Deportivo Riestra vs Banfield stats

Deportivo Riestra and Banfield recent form

newest first
Deportivo Riestra DDDDLW
Banfield LLLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Riestra vs Banfield head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Deportivo Riestra wins 1Draws 1Banfield wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-11-24Deportivo RiestraBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-03-02BanfieldDeportivo RiestraCopa de la Liga Profesional2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Riestra vs Banfield odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 33.0%, away 25.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.24 2.82 3.75
1xBet 2.28 2.88 3.67
Bet365 2.20 2.80 3.90
BetVictor 2.15 2.80 3.60
Betano 2.27 2.85 3.85
Betfair 2.15 2.90 3.70
Dafabet 2.21 2.95 3.90
Marathonbet 2.24 2.82 3.60
Pinnacle 2.25 2.79 3.63
SBO 2.14 2.65 3.28
Superbet 2.20 2.87 3.80
Unibet 2.35 2.88 3.15
William Hill 2.25 2.70 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.24 ▼ -0.41
X 2.82 ▼ -0.06
2 3.67 ▲ +0.88

10 snapshots recorded, from .