Garuda Lions
Today
Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Banfield vs Barracas Central

1 – 1 Full time

45′Lautaro Martín Gómez
45′Damián MartínezRafael Barrios
59′Elías PereyraRodrigo Insua
59′Kevin JappertEnzo Taborda
62′Ivan Tapia
73′Santiago López GarcíaFederico Medina
76′Tomás PorraNicolás Capraro
78′Tomas Adoryan
79′Tomas AdoryanFavio Álvarez
79′Lautaro Martín GómezLisandro Geronimo Piñero
85′Norberto BriascoJhonatan Candia
87′Alexander MachadoMatías Hernández
88′Favio Álvarez

Florencio Sola, Buenos AiresReferee: Sebastian Zunino, Argentina

Banfield 41%
Draw 33%
Barracas Central 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
36 Possession % 64
1 Corners 6
17 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
173 Accurate passes 341

Banfield vs Barracas Central overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Banfield vs Barracas Central

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBanfieldDrawBarracas Central
Model47.2%31.4%21.4%
Market38.9%33.0%28.0%
Final41.0%32.6%26.4%
Edge+8.2%-1.6%-6.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Banfield

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.79.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Banfield below the model: +8.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Banfield ↓ / Barracas Centr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 15% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Banfield and Barracas Central expected goals

Banfield 1.29
Barracas Central 0.79

Total expected goals: 2.08

Banfield and Barracas Central attack and defence ratings

Banfield

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Barracas Central

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Banfield vs Barracas Central: result vs prediction

Banfield 1 – 1 Barracas Central

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Banfield vs Barracas Central markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Banfield 41.0% 2.44 +8.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.5% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 59.2% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.8% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Banfield41.0%
Draw32.6%
Barracas Central26.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.5%
Under 2.565.5%
Both teams to scoreYes40.8%
No59.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.6%
12 (either side)67.4%
X2 (draw or away)59.0%
Handicap -1Banfield win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss52.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.9%
1-114.0%
0-013.8%

Banfield vs Barracas Central stats

Banfield and Barracas Central recent form

newest first
Banfield DLLLDW
Barracas Central DDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Banfield and Barracas Central going into this match

league record before kick-off

Banfield record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Barracas Central record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Banfield vs Barracas Central head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Banfield wins 3Draws 3Barracas Central wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Barracas CentralBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2025-07-28BanfieldBarracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-3
2025-02-01Barracas CentralBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2024-09-16Barracas CentralBanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2024-02-14BanfieldBarracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional0-0
2023-09-20Barracas CentralBanfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional1-0
2023-04-29BanfieldBarracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2022-06-24BanfieldBarracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Banfield vs Barracas Central odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 33.0%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.26 2.86 3.60
1xBet 2.39 2.95 3.38
888Sport 2.30 2.80 3.30
Bet365 2.50 2.70 3.60
BetVictor 2.45 2.90 3.30
Betano 2.47 2.72 3.55
Betfair 2.30 2.88 3.30
Dafabet 2.35 2.80 3.35
Marathonbet 2.35 2.90 3.32
Pinnacle 2.52 2.82 3.49
SBO 2.20 2.69 3.09
Unibet 2.38 2.90 3.20
William Hill 2.38 2.75 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.39 ▲ +0.09
X 2.82 ▼ -0.07
2 3.32 ▼ -0.18

14 snapshots recorded, from .