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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense

2 – 1 Full time

13′Valente Pierani
15′Ivan Gómez
19′Adolfo Gaich
24′Guido Mainero
45′Valente PieraniLeandro Gonzalez Pirez
49′Maximiliano Amarfil
50′José Sosa
52′Santiago Núñez
59′José SosaJoaquín Correa
59′Fabricio PérezJoaquín Tobio Burgos
60′Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
67′Juan Ignacio SaboridoAgustin Lagos
73′Agustin Lagos
76′Gastón TogniJuan Carlos Gauto
76′Gonzalo LencinaBruno Christian Sepulveda
80′Jalil EliasAlexis Castro
80′Edwuin CetreGuido Carrillo
83′Franco Zapiola YamartinoNico López
83′Tomás SilvaCelías Adán Ingenthron
90′Guido Carrillo

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La PlataReferee: Maximiliano Macheroni, Argentina

Estudiantes L.P. 51%
Draw 30%
Platense 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 2
55 Possession % 45
2 Corners 2
15 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 2
1 Saves 8
330 Accurate passes 208

Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEstudiantes L.P.DrawPlatense
Model57.6%28.1%14.2%
Market49.3%30.2%20.5%
Final51.4%29.7%18.9%
Edge+8.3%-2.1%-6.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Estudiantes L.P.

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.63.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Estudiantes L.P. below the model: +8.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Estudiantes L. ↓ / Platense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 17% 12% 2 13% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Estudiantes L.P. and Platense expected goals

Estudiantes L.P. 1.51
Platense 0.63

Total expected goals: 2.14

Estudiantes L.P. and Platense attack and defence ratings

Estudiantes L.P.

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Platense

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense: result vs prediction

Estudiantes L.P. 2 – 1 Platense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Estudiantes L.P. 51.4% 1.95 +8.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.1% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.4% 2.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Estudiantes L.P.51.4%
Draw29.7%
Platense18.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.0%
Under 2.564.0%
Both teams to scoreYes37.4%
No62.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.1%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)48.6%
Handicap -1Estudiantes L.P. win31.1%
Push (exactly one goal)26.6%
Loss42.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.7%
2-013.5%
0-012.9%

Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense stats

Estudiantes L.P. and Platense recent form

newest first
Estudiantes L.P. DLDWLW
Platense LDLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Estudiantes L.P. and Platense going into this match

league record before kick-off

Estudiantes L.P. record

  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 25 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Platense record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Estudiantes L.P. wins 3Draws 2Platense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-2
2025-12-20Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseTrofeo de Campeones de la Superliga2-1
2024-09-15Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-03-06Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseCopa de la Liga Profesional1-2
2023-10-18PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional2-1
2023-04-27PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-2
2022-09-04PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina0-0
2021-09-25Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2021-05-03Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 30.2%, away 20.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.73 3.25 5.50
1xBet 1.94 3.12 4.64
888Sport 1.83 3.00 4.75
Bet365 1.91 3.00 5.00
BetVictor 1.91 3.13 4.60
Betano 1.98 3.15 5.00
Betfair 1.85 3.25 4.50
Dafabet 1.82 3.10 4.80
Marathonbet 1.90 3.06 4.55
Pinnacle 1.95 3.15 4.86
SBO 1.90 2.99 4.04
Unibet 1.83 3.25 4.70
William Hill 1.91 2.90 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▲ +0.17
X 3.12 ▼ -0.08
2 4.60 ▼ -0.85

18 snapshots recorded, from .